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Missing trade and lumpy countries

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  • Charles Van Marrewijk
  • Steven Brakman

Abstract

Empirically, Trefler (1995) shows that actual trade flows deviate from predictions based on factor abundance theory in a systematic way (which he calls the 'case of the missing trade'). Theoretically, Courant and Deardorff (1992) show that an uneven distribution of factors of production across regions within a country (which they call 'lumpiness') affect aggregate trade flows at the country level. In particular, a country tends to export the good that intensively uses its more unevenly distributed factor of production. Based on the urban economics literature, we use a simple measure of the degree of lumpiness to show that Trefler's missing trade flows are systematically related to our measure of the degree of lumpiness. This implies that not only home bias and technology differences may explain the missing trade flows, but also the uneven distribution of factors of production.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles Van Marrewijk & Steven Brakman, 2011. "Missing trade and lumpy countries," ERSA conference papers ersa10p610, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa10p610
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Courant Paul N. & Deardorff Alan V., 1993. "Amenities, Nontraded Goods, and the Trade of Lumpy Countries," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 299-317, September.
    2. Paul N. Courant & Alan V. Deardorff, 2011. "International Trade with Lumpy Countries," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Robert M Stern (ed.), Comparative Advantage, Growth, And The Gains From Trade And Globalization A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V Deardorff, chapter 14, pages 141-154, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    4. Andrew B. Bernard & Raymond Robertson & Peter K. Schott, 2010. "Is Mexico a Lumpy Country?," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 937-950, November.
    5. Briant, A. & Combes, P.-P. & Lafourcade, M., 2010. "Dots to boxes: Do the size and shape of spatial units jeopardize economic geography estimations?," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 287-302, May.
    6. Siu‐kee Wong & Kwan Koo Yun, 2003. "The Lens Condition with Two Factors," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(4), pages 692-696, September.
    7. Alan V. Deardorff, 2011. "The possibility of factor price equalization, revisited," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Robert M Stern (ed.), Comparative Advantage, Growth, And The Gains From Trade And Globalization A Festschrift in Honor of Alan V Deardorff, chapter 15, pages 155-163, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    8. Robert E. Baldwin, 2008. "The Development and Testing of Heckscher-Ohlin Trade Models: A Review," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262026562, December.
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