IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/wbk/wbrwps/9303.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Demystifying the Costs of Electricity Generation Technologies

Author

Listed:
  • Timilsina,Govinda R.

Abstract

The levelized cost of electricity is the most common indicator used to compare the cost competitiveness of electricity-generating technologies. Several studies claim that some renewable energy technologies, particularly utility-scale solar photovoltaic and onshore wind, are cost-competitive with fossil fuel–based technologies. However, there is no consensus on this point considering the wide variations in factors that influence the levelized costs of electricity across countries and technologies. This study calculates more than 4,000 levelized costs of electricity for 11 technologies, varying key input variables. The study shows that the levelized costs of electricity for renewable electricity technologies, except concentrated solar and offshore wind, are lower than those for fossil fuel–based technologies at the lower range of capital costs and discount rates of 10 percent or lower. However, for a reasonable range of input variables, calculations of the levelized costs of electricity for renewables based on reasonable parameter values do not justify the low auction prices for solar power, below US$20 per megawatt hour, recently observed in some parts of the world. The study also highlights the shortcomings of the levelized cost indicator for comparing the cost-competitiveness of different types of electricity generation technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • Timilsina,Govinda R., 2020. "Demystifying the Costs of Electricity Generation Technologies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9303, The World Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9303
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/125521593437517815/pdf/Demystifying-the-Costs-of-Electricity-Generation-Technologies.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Cornelis van Kooten, G. & Narbel, Patrick A., 2013. "Global wind power development: Economics and policies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 642-652.
    2. Shea, Ryan P. & Ramgolam, Yatindra Kumar, 2019. "Applied levelized cost of electricity for energy technologies in a small island developing state: A case study in Mauritius," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1415-1424.
    3. Harry Apostoleris & Sgouris Sgouridis & Marco Stefancich & Matteo Chiesa, 2018. "Evaluating the factors that led to low-priced solar electricity projects in the Middle East," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 3(12), pages 1109-1114, December.
    4. Myhr, Anders & Bjerkseter, Catho & Ågotnes, Anders & Nygaard, Tor A., 2014. "Levelised cost of energy for offshore floating wind turbines in a life cycle perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 714-728.
    5. Landis,Florian & Timilsina,Govinda R., 2015. "The economics of policy instruments to stimulate wind power in Brazil," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7346, The World Bank.
    6. Candelise, Chiara & Winskel, Mark & Gross, Robert J.K., 2013. "The dynamics of solar PV costs and prices as a challenge for technology forecasting," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 96-107.
    7. Paul L. Joskow, 2011. "Comparing the Costs of Intermittent and Dispatchable Electricity Generating Technologies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 238-241, May.
    8. Ouyang, Xiaoling & Lin, Boqiang, 2014. "Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of renewable energies and required subsidies in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 64-73.
    9. Timilsina,Govinda R. & Deluque Curiel,Ilka Fabiana, 2020. "Power System Implications of Subsidy Removal, Regional Electricity Trade, and Carbon Constraints in MENA Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9297, The World Bank.
    10. Dobrotkova, Zuzana & Surana, Kavita & Audinet, Pierre, 2018. "The price of solar energy: Comparing competitive auctions for utility-scale solar PV in developing countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 133-148.
    11. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Landis, Florian, 2014. "Economics of transiting to renewable energy in Morocco : a general equilibrium analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6940, The World Bank.
    12. Timilsina, Govinda R. & Toman, Mike, 2016. "Potential gains from expanding regional electricity trade in South Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 6-14.
    13. Cartelle Barros, Juan José & Lara Coira, Manuel & de la Cruz López, María Pilar & del Caño Gochi, Alfredo, 2016. "Probabilistic life-cycle cost analysis for renewable and non-renewable power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 774-787.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Henry, Candise L. & Baker, Justin S. & Shaw, Brooke K. & Kondash, Andrew J. & Leiva, Benjamín & Castellanos, Edwin & Wade, Christopher M. & Lord, Benjamin & Van Houtven, George & Redmon, Jennifer Hopo, 2021. "How will renewable energy development goals affect energy poverty in Guatemala?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    2. Timilsina,Govinda R., 2021. "Economics of Distributed Photovoltaics : An Illustration from Bangladesh," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9699, The World Bank.
    3. Karbassi, Veis & Trotter, Philipp A. & Walther, Grit, 2023. "Diversifying the African energy system: Economic versus equitable allocation of renewable electricity and e-fuel production," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    4. Elkadeem, Mohamed R. & Younes, Ali & Mazzeo, Domenico & Jurasz, Jakub & Elia Campana, Pietro & Sharshir, Swellam W. & Alaam, Mohamed A., 2022. "Geospatial-assisted multi-criterion analysis of solar and wind power geographical-technical-economic potential assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    5. Timilsina, Govinda R., 2021. "Are renewable energy technologies cost competitive for electricity generation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 658-672.
    6. Shigeru Kimura & Keisuke Ueda (ed.), 2021. "Feasibility Study on the Transmission Highway in ACMECS," Books, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA), number 2021-RPR-17, July.
    7. Qudrat-Ullah, Hassan, 2022. "A review and analysis of renewable energy policies and CO2 emissions of Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Timilsina, Govinda R., 2021. "Are renewable energy technologies cost competitive for electricity generation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 658-672.
    2. Chen, Hao & Gao, Xin-Ya & Liu, Jian-Yu & Zhang, Qian & Yu, Shiwei & Kang, Jia-Ning & Yan, Rui & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2020. "The grid parity analysis of onshore wind power in China: A system cost perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 22-30.
    3. Prakash, Vrishab & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2020. "Costs of avoided carbon emission from thermal and renewable sources of power in India and policy implications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    4. Aldersey-Williams, J. & Rubert, T., 2019. "Levelised cost of energy – A theoretical justification and critical assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 169-179.
    5. Shen, Wei & Chen, Xi & Qiu, Jing & Hayward, Jennifier A & Sayeef, Saad & Osman, Peter & Meng, Ke & Dong, Zhao Yang, 2020. "A comprehensive review of variable renewable energy levelized cost of electricity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    6. Steffen, Bjarne, 2020. "Estimating the cost of capital for renewable energy projects," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Lindahl, Johan & Lingfors, David & Elmqvist, Åsa & Mignon, Ingrid, 2022. "Economic analysis of the early market of centralized photovoltaic parks in Sweden," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1192-1208.
    8. Rubio-Domingo, G. & Linares, P., 2021. "The future investment costs of offshore wind: An estimation based on auction results," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    9. Wu, Jie & Albrecht, Johan & Fan, Ying & Xia, Yan, 2016. "The design of renewable support schemes and CO2 emissions in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 4-11.
    10. Nissen, Ulrich & Harfst, Nathanael, 2019. "Shortcomings of the traditional “levelized cost of energy” [LCOE] for the determination of grid parity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1009-1016.
    11. Yu, Hyun Jin Julie, 2018. "A prospective economic assessment of residential PV self-consumption with batteries and its systemic effects: The French case in 2030," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 673-687.
    12. van Kooten, G. Cornelis, 2015. "All you want to know about the Economics of Wind Power," Working Papers 241693, University of Victoria, Resource Economics and Policy.
    13. Pérez Odeh, Rodrigo & Watts, David & Flores, Yarela, 2018. "Planning in a changing environment: Applications of portfolio optimisation to deal with risk in the electricity sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3808-3823.
    14. Oliva H., Sebastian, 2017. "Residential energy efficiency and distributed generation - Natural partners or competition?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 932-940.
    15. Stetter, Chris & Piel, Jan-Hendrik & Hamann, Julian F.H. & Breitner, Michael H., 2020. "Competitive and risk-adequate auction bids for onshore wind projects in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    16. Segura, E. & Morales, R. & Somolinos, J.A. & López, A., 2017. "Techno-economic challenges of tidal energy conversion systems: Current status and trends," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 536-550.
    17. Chenglong Guo & Wanan Sheng & Dakshina G. De Silva & George Aggidis, 2023. "A Review of the Levelized Cost of Wave Energy Based on a Techno-Economic Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-30, February.
    18. van Kooten, G. Cornelis & Lynch, Rachel & Duan, Jon, 2016. "Carbon Taxes and Feed-in Tariffs: Using Screening Curves and Load Duration to Determine the Optimal Mix of Generation Assets," Working Papers 236443, University of Victoria, Resource Economics and Policy.
    19. Đukan, Mak & Kitzing, Lena, 2023. "A bigger bang for the buck: The impact of risk reduction on renewable energy support payments in Europe," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    20. Tu, Qiang & Mo, Jianlei & Betz, Regina & Cui, Lianbiao & Fan, Ying & Liu, Yu, 2020. "Achieving grid parity of solar PV power in China- The role of Tradable Green Certificate," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:9303. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Roula I. Yazigi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dvewbus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.