IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/rensus/v133y2020ics136403212030589x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A comprehensive review of variable renewable energy levelized cost of electricity

Author

Listed:
  • Shen, Wei
  • Chen, Xi
  • Qiu, Jing
  • Hayward, Jennifier A
  • Sayeef, Saad
  • Osman, Peter
  • Meng, Ke
  • Dong, Zhao Yang

Abstract

Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is widely used to compare the cost of different electricity generation technologies. However, with the increasing penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE), it is inappropriate to use traditional equations to calculate the LCOE for non-dispatchable VRE due to its intermittent nature. Therefore, this paper reviews LCOE for renewable generation considering aspects such as improving traditional methods for evaluating and reducing the LCOE of VRE. The existing methods for improving the accuracy of the traditional LCOE have been divided into four aspects: investment-related cost, operating-related cost, expressions for plant performance and the uncertainty and risk-related costs. The review summarizes the existing studies from academic articles and technical reports and proposes suggestions for future research studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Shen, Wei & Chen, Xi & Qiu, Jing & Hayward, Jennifier A & Sayeef, Saad & Osman, Peter & Meng, Ke & Dong, Zhao Yang, 2020. "A comprehensive review of variable renewable energy levelized cost of electricity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:133:y:2020:i:c:s136403212030589x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2020.110301
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136403212030589X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.rser.2020.110301?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shea, Ryan P. & Ramgolam, Yatindra Kumar, 2019. "Applied levelized cost of electricity for energy technologies in a small island developing state: A case study in Mauritius," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 1415-1424.
    2. Vazquez, A. & Iglesias, G., 2015. "LCOE (levelised cost of energy) mapping: A new geospatial tool for tidal stream energy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 192-201.
    3. Reichelstein, Stefan & Sahoo, Anshuman, 2015. "Time of day pricing and the levelized cost of intermittent power generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 97-108.
    4. Parrado, C. & Girard, A. & Simon, F. & Fuentealba, E., 2016. "2050 LCOE (Levelized Cost of Energy) projection for a hybrid PV (photovoltaic)-CSP (concentrated solar power) plant in the Atacama Desert, Chile," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 422-430.
    5. Aldersey-Williams, J. & Rubert, T., 2019. "Levelised cost of energy – A theoretical justification and critical assessment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 169-179.
    6. Bruck, Maira & Sandborn, Peter & Goudarzi, Navid, 2018. "A Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) model for wind farms that include Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs)," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 131-139.
    7. Rhodes, Joshua D. & King, Carey & Gulen, Gürcan & Olmstead, Sheila M. & Dyer, James S. & Hebner, Robert E. & Beach, Fred C. & Edgar, Thomas F. & Webber, Michael E., 2017. "A geographically resolved method to estimate levelized power plant costs with environmental externalities," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 491-499.
    8. Ueckerdt, Falko & Hirth, Lion & Luderer, Gunnar & Edenhofer, Ottmar, 2013. "System LCOE: What are the costs of variable renewables?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 61-75.
    9. Elliston, Ben & Diesendorf, Mark & MacGill, Iain, 2012. "Simulations of scenarios with 100% renewable electricity in the Australian National Electricity Market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 606-613.
    10. Orioli, Aldo & Di Gangi, Alessandra, 2015. "The recent change in the Italian policies for photovoltaics: Effects on the payback period and levelized cost of electricity of grid-connected photovoltaic systems installed in urban contexts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1989-2005.
    11. Elliston, Ben & Riesz, Jenny & MacGill, Iain, 2016. "What cost for more renewables? The incremental cost of renewable generation – An Australian National Electricity Market case study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 127-139.
    12. Lion Hirth, Falko Ueckerdt, and Ottmar Edenhofer, 2016. "Why Wind Is Not Coal: On the Economics of Electricity Generation," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 3).
    13. Elliston, Ben & MacGill, Iain & Diesendorf, Mark, 2013. "Least cost 100% renewable electricity scenarios in the Australian National Electricity Market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 270-282.
    14. Khatib, Hisham, 2016. "A review of the IEA/NEA Projected Costs of Electricity – 2015 edition," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 229-233.
    15. Tu, Qiang & Betz, Regina & Mo, Jianlei & Fan, Ying & Liu, Yu, 2019. "Achieving grid parity of wind power in China – Present levelized cost of electricity and future evolution," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 1053-1064.
    16. Zhao, Zhen-Yu & Chen, Yu-Long & Thomson, John Douglas, 2017. "Levelized cost of energy modeling for concentrated solar power projects: A China study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 117-127.
    17. Chadee, Xsitaaz T. & Clarke, Ricardo M., 2018. "Wind resources and the levelized cost of wind generated electricity in the Caribbean islands of Trinidad and Tobago," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2526-2540.
    18. Zhang, M.M. & Zhou, D.Q. & Zhou, P. & Chen, H.T., 2017. "Optimal design of subsidy to stimulate renewable energy investments: The case of China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 873-883.
    19. Paul L. Joskow, 2011. "Comparing the Costs of Intermittent and Dispatchable Electricity Generating Technologies," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(3), pages 238-241, May.
    20. Ouyang, Xiaoling & Lin, Boqiang, 2014. "Levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) of renewable energies and required subsidies in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 64-73.
    21. Blakers, Andrew & Lu, Bin & Stocks, Matthew, 2017. "100% renewable electricity in Australia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 471-482.
    22. Topper, Mathew B.R. & Nava, Vincenzo & Collin, Adam J. & Bould, David & Ferri, Francesco & Olson, Sterling S. & Dallman, Ann R. & Roberts, Jesse D. & Ruiz-Minguela, Pablo & Jeffrey, Henry F., 2019. "Reducing variability in the cost of energy of ocean energy arrays," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 263-279.
    23. Batlle, Carlos, 2011. "A method for allocating renewable energy source subsidies among final energy consumers," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2586-2595, May.
    24. Ondraczek, Janosch & Komendantova, Nadejda & Patt, Anthony, 2015. "WACC the dog: The effect of financing costs on the levelized cost of solar PV power," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 888-898.
    25. Talavera, D.L. & Pérez-Higueras, P. & Ruíz-Arias, J.A. & Fernández, E.F., 2015. "Levelised cost of electricity in high concentrated photovoltaic grid connected systems: Spatial analysis of Spain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 49-59.
    26. Obi, Manasseh & Jensen, S.M. & Ferris, Jennifer B. & Bass, Robert B., 2017. "Calculation of levelized costs of electricity for various electrical energy storage systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 908-920.
    27. Clauser, Christoph & Ewert, Markus, 2018. "The renewables cost challenge: Levelized cost of geothermal electric energy compared to other sources of primary energy – Review and case study," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3683-3693.
    28. Branker, K. & Pathak, M.J.M. & Pearce, J.M., 2011. "A review of solar photovoltaic levelized cost of electricity," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4470-4482.
    29. Lucheroni, Carlo & Mari, Carlo, 2017. "CO2 volatility impact on energy portfolio choice: A fully stochastic LCOE theory analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 278-290.
    30. Aldersey-Williams, John & Broadbent, Ian D. & Strachan, Peter A., 2019. "Better estimates of LCOE from audited accounts – A new methodology with examples from United Kingdom offshore wind and CCGT," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 25-35.
    31. Geissmann, Thomas, 2017. "A probabilistic approach to the computation of the levelized cost of electricity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 372-381.
    32. Hevia-Koch, Pablo & Klinge Jacobsen, Henrik, 2019. "Comparing offshore and onshore wind development considering acceptance costs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 9-19.
    33. Wang, Xiaoting & Kurdgelashvili, Lado & Byrne, John & Barnett, Allen, 2011. "The value of module efficiency in lowering the levelized cost of energy of photovoltaic systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 15(9), pages 4248-4254.
    34. Tran, Thomas T.D. & Smith, Amanda D., 2018. "Incorporating performance-based global sensitivity and uncertainty analysis into LCOE calculations for emerging renewable energy technologies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C), pages 157-171.
    35. Rahman, Shaikh M. & Spalding-Fecher, Randall & Haites, Erik & Kirkman, Grant A., 2018. "The levelized costs of electricity generation by the CDM power projects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 235-246.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nissen, Ulrich & Harfst, Nathanael, 2019. "Shortcomings of the traditional “levelized cost of energy” [LCOE] for the determination of grid parity," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1009-1016.
    2. Lai, Chun Sing & McCulloch, Malcolm D., 2017. "Levelized cost of electricity for solar photovoltaic and electrical energy storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 191-203.
    3. Chen, Hao & Gao, Xin-Ya & Liu, Jian-Yu & Zhang, Qian & Yu, Shiwei & Kang, Jia-Ning & Yan, Rui & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2020. "The grid parity analysis of onshore wind power in China: A system cost perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 22-30.
    4. Aquila, Giancarlo & Coelho, Eden de Oliveira Pinto & Bonatto, Benedito Donizeti & Pamplona, Edson de Oliveira & Nakamura, Wilson Toshiro, 2021. "Perspective of uncertainty and risk from the CVaR-LCOE approach: An analysis of the case of PV microgeneration in Minas Gerais, Brazil," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    5. Sanghyun Sung & Wooyong Jung, 2019. "Economic Competitiveness Evaluation of the Energy Sources: Comparison between a Financial Model and Levelized Cost of Electricity Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-21, October.
    6. Alexandra G. Papadopoulou & George Vasileiou & Alexandros Flamos, 2020. "A Comparison of Dispatchable RES Technoeconomics: Is There a Niche for Concentrated Solar Power?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-22, September.
    7. Prakash, Vrishab & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2020. "Costs of avoided carbon emission from thermal and renewable sources of power in India and policy implications," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    8. Timilsina, Govinda R., 2021. "Are renewable energy technologies cost competitive for electricity generation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 658-672.
    9. Orioli, Aldo & Di Gangi, Alessandra, 2017. "Six-years-long effects of the Italian policies for photovoltaics on the grid parity of grid-connected photovoltaic systems installed in urban contexts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 55-75.
    10. Pérez Odeh, Rodrigo & Watts, David & Flores, Yarela, 2018. "Planning in a changing environment: Applications of portfolio optimisation to deal with risk in the electricity sector," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 3808-3823.
    11. Chul-Yong Lee & Jaekyun Ahn, 2020. "Stochastic Modeling of the Levelized Cost of Electricity for Solar PV," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-18, June.
    12. Russell McKenna & Stefan Pfenninger & Heidi Heinrichs & Johannes Schmidt & Iain Staffell & Katharina Gruber & Andrea N. Hahmann & Malte Jansen & Michael Klingler & Natascha Landwehr & Xiaoli Guo Lars', 2021. "Reviewing methods and assumptions for high-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy potential assessments," Papers 2103.09781, arXiv.org.
    13. Daniele Milone & Domenico Curto & Vincenzo Franzitta & Andrea Guercio & Maurizio Cirrincione & Ali Mohammadi, 2022. "An Economic Approach to Size of a Renewable Energy Mix in Small Islands," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.
    14. McKenna, Russell & Pfenninger, Stefan & Heinrichs, Heidi & Schmidt, Johannes & Staffell, Iain & Bauer, Christian & Gruber, Katharina & Hahmann, Andrea N. & Jansen, Malte & Klingler, Michael & Landwehr, 2022. "High-resolution large-scale onshore wind energy assessments: A review of potential definitions, methodologies and future research needs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 659-684.
    15. Lanshina, Tatiana A. & “Skip” Laitner, John A. & Potashnikov, Vladimir Y. & Barinova, Vera A., 2018. "The slow expansion of renewable energy in Russia: Competitiveness and regulation issues," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 600-609.
    16. Fuquan Zhao & Feiqi Liu & Han Hao & Zongwei Liu, 2020. "Carbon Emission Reduction Strategy for Energy Users in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-19, August.
    17. Chenglong Guo & Wanan Sheng & Dakshina G. De Silva & George Aggidis, 2023. "A Review of the Levelized Cost of Wave Energy Based on a Techno-Economic Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-30, February.
    18. Zhao, Zhen-Yu & Chen, Yu-Long & Thomson, John Douglas, 2017. "Levelized cost of energy modeling for concentrated solar power projects: A China study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 117-127.
    19. Zou, Hongyang & Du, Huibin & Brown, Marilyn A. & Mao, Guozhu, 2017. "Large-scale PV power generation in China: A grid parity and techno-economic analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 256-268.
    20. Tazi, Nacef & Safaei, Fatemeh & Hnaien, Faicel, 2022. "Assessment of the levelized cost of energy using a stochastic model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PB).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:133:y:2020:i:c:s136403212030589x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/600126/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.