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The old and the new in heterodox stabilization programs : lessons from the 1960s and the 1980s

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Author Info
Kiguel, Miguel A.
Liviatan, Nissan
Abstract

The objective of this paper is to gain new insights about the strengths and weaknesses of the heterodox approach for stopping inflation based on the experience of programs implemented in some Latin American countries and Israel in the sixties and eighties. The most important income policies supported stabilization programs in recent years were those launched in Argentina in June 1985, in Israel in July 1985, in Brazil in February 1986 and most recently by Mexico in 1987 - 88. The authors point out that tight fiscal policy is critical to the success of a heterodox program, particularly during the flexibilization period in which price and wage controls are removed. In the failures of the 1960s and the 1980s, the budget situation had already deteriorated when controls were removed. A relaxed fiscal stance during the freeze led to a sharp acceleration of inflation later. Heterodox programs fail not because income policies are poorly designed but because the fiscal effort does not persist.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 323.

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Date of creation: 31 Dec 1989
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:323

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Keywords: Environmental Economics&Policies; Economic Theory&Research; Insurance&Risk Mitigation; Insurance Law; Financial Intermediation;

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Kiguel, Miguel A., 1989. "Inflation in Argentina : stop and go since the Austral plan," Policy Research Working Paper Series 162, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  2. Robert J. Barro & David B. Gordon, 1983. "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model," NBER Working Papers 0807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Helpman, Elhanan & Leiderman, Leonardo, 1988. "Stabilization in high inflation countries: Analytical foundations and recent experience," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 9-84, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Eliana A. Cardoso & Rudiger Dornbusch, 1987. "Brazil's Tropical Plan," NBER Working Papers 2142, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Kiguel, Miguel A & Liviatan, Nissan, 1988. "Inflationary Rigidities and Orthodox Stabilization Policies: Lessons from Latin America," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 2(3), pages 273-98, September.
  6. Foxley, Alejandro, 1980. "Stabilization policies and stagflation: The cases of Brazil and Chile," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 8(11), pages 887-912, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Rudiger Dornbusch & Mario Henrique Simonsen, 1987. "Inflation Stabilization with Incomes Policy Support: A Review of the Experience in Argentina, Brazil and Israel," NBER Working Papers 2153, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Cukierman, A. & Liviatan, N., 1989. "Optimal Accommodation By Strong Policymakers Under Incomplete Information," Papers 13-89, Tel Aviv.
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  9. Solimano, Andres, 1989. "Inflation and the costs of stabilization : country experiences, conceptual issues, and policy lessons," Policy Research Working Paper Series 226, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  10. Malan, Pedro S. & Bonelli, Regis, 1977. "The Brazilian economy in the seventies: Old and new developments," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 5(1-2), pages 19-45. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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