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Chile's regional arrangements and the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas : the importance of market access

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Author Info
Harrison, Glenn W.
Rutherford, Thomas F.
Tarr, David G.

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Abstract

Using a multisector, computable general equilibrium model, the authors examine Chile's strategy of negotiating bilateral free trade agreements with all of its significant trading partners (referring to this policy as additive regionalism). They also evaluate the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA) and global free trade. Among Chile's bilateral regional agreements, only Chile's agreements with"Northern"partners provide enough market access to offset the costs to Chile of trade diversion. Because of preferential market access, however, additive regionalism is likely to provide Chile with many times as many gains as the static welfare gains from unilateral free trade. The authors find that at least one partner country loses from each of the regional trade agreements they consider, and excluded countries as a group they always lose. They estimate that the FTAA produces large welfare gains for the members, with the European Union being the big loser. Gains to the world from global free trade are estimated to be at least 36 times greater than gains from the FTAA. Even countries of the Americas in aggregate gain more from global free trade than from the FTAA.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 2634.

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Date of creation: 31 Jul 2001
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:2634

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Related research
Keywords: Rules of Origin; Economic Theory&Research; Environmental Economics&Policies; Trade Policy; Payment Systems&Infrastructure; TF054105-DONOR FUNDED OPERATION ADMINISTRATION FEE INCOME AND EXPENSE ACCOUNT; Trade and Regional Integration; Economic Theory&Research; Environmental Economics&Policies; Rules of Origin;

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  1. Silvia Laens & Inés Terra, 2003. "Integration of the Americas: Welfare Effects and Options for the MERCOSUR," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0903, Department of Economics - dECON. [Downloadable!]
  2. Glenn W. Harrison & Thomas F. Rutherford & Tarr,David, 2003. "Rules of thumb for evaluating preferential trading arrangements : evidence from computable general equilibrium assessments," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3149, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Romulo Chumacero & Rodrigo Fuentes, 2004. "Chile's Free Trade Deals with the EU and the US: A Big Deal?," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 661, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  4. Christine A. McDaniel & Edward J. Balistreri, 2003. "A Discussion on Armington Trade Substitution Elasticities," Computational Economics 0303002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Rómulo A. Chumacero & Rodrigo Fuentes & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2004. "Chile’s Free Trade Agreements: How Big is The Deal?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 264, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  6. Rutherford, Thomas & Tarr, David, 2008. "Regional household and poverty effects of Russia's accession to the world trade organization," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4570, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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