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A Regional Examination of Foreclosures

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  • Russell Kashian

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin - Whitewater)

  • David Welsch

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin - Whitewater)

Abstract

Foreclosures, causes and remedies, are being discussed and fiercely debated across our nation. Although there has been some examination of the causes of foreclosures, the current research has devoted its attention to examining what factors change the probability that an individual will go into foreclosure. By examining Wisconsin counties over eight years this paper makes a major contribution to the literature by taking a regional approach to examining the causes of foreclosures. This regional approach has greater policy applications since policy is often based on regional not individual factors. Several empirical models are estimated and there are consistent results that greater unemployment, a lower median age, larger families in rental units, and a smaller percentage of Asian or Native Americans leads to more foreclosures in a county. There is also evidence that education seems to affect foreclosures in a non-monotonic way; higher percentage of the population with a high school degree vs. non high school graduates increases foreclosures, but there is a negative impact or no significant difference between bachelors degree and no high school degree.

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File URL: http://www.uww.edu/documents/colleges/cobe/economics/wpapers/08_04_Kashian_Welsch.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by UW-Whitewater, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 08-04.

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Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uww:wpaper:08-04

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Postal: Whitewater, WI 53190-1750
Phone: (414) 472-1361
Web page: http://www.uww.edu/cobe/economics/main.html
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Related research

Keywords: Foreclosures; Regional Economics; Housing; Spatial Econometrics;

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References

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  1. Pennington-Cross, Anthony, 2003. "Credit History and the Performance of Prime and Nonprime Mortgages," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 279-301, November.
  2. George J. Borjas, 2002. "Homeownership in the Immigrant Population," NBER Working Papers 8945, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Vassilis Lekkas & John M. Quigley & Robert Order, 1993. "Loan Loss Severity and Optimal Mortgage Default," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 21(4), pages 353-371.
  4. John M. Quigley., 1993. "Explicit Tests of Contingent Claims Models of Mortgage Defaults," Economics Working Papers 93-221, University of California at Berkeley.
  5. Brent W. Ambrose & Charles A. Capone, 1998. "Modeling the Conditional Probability of Foreclosure in the Context of Single-Family Mortgage Default Resolutions," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 26(3), pages 391-429.
  6. Ambrose, Brent W & Capone, Charles A, Jr & Deng, Yongheng, 2001. "Optimal Put Exercise: An Empirical Examination of Conditions for Mortgage Foreclosure," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 23(2), pages 213-34, September.
  7. Eric A. Hanushek, 1979. "Conceptual and Empirical Issues in the Estimation of Educational Production Functions," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 14(3), pages 351-388.
  8. James B. Kau & Donald C. Keenan & Taewon Kim, 1993. "Transaction Costs, Suboptimal Termination and Default Probabilities," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 21(3), pages 247-263.
  9. Danis, Michelle A. & Pennington-Cross, Anthony, 2008. "The delinquency of subprime mortgages," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 67-90.
  10. Norman Miller & Liang Peng, 2006. "Exploring Metropolitan Housing Price Volatility," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 5-18, August.
  11. Kau James B. & Keenan Donald C. & Kim Taewon, 1994. "Default Probabilities for Mortgages," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 278-296, May.
  12. Cameron, A. Colin & Trivedi, Pravin K., 1990. "Regression-based tests for overdispersion in the Poisson model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 347-364, December.
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