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Official Dollarization in Latin America: Could it Work?

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Author Info
Paul Hallwood (University of Connecticut)
Ian W. Marsh (City University Business School)
Jorg Scheibe (University of Oxford)

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Abstract

We investigate the case for official dollarization in a selection of Latin American countries. We argue that the monetary shock absorbers of base control, foreign exchange reserve sterilization and exchange rate policy should be retained the more volatile is a country's actual real exchange rate. Our investigation of the asymmetry of macroeconomic shocks between the USA and Latin America suggests that the time series property of the real exchange rate is likely to be one of such volatility that it is advisable to retain at least some monetary shock absorbers. The case for official dollarization is further weakened by the unlikelihood of international agreements to accommodate Federal Reserve management of the dollar base to Latin American requirements.

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File URL: http://www.econ.uconn.edu/working/2001-06.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Connecticut, Department of Economics in its series Working papers with number 2001-06.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2001
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:uct:uconnp:2001-06

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Related research
Keywords: dollarization; exchange rate regimes; monetary policy; Latin America.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
F3 - International Economics - - International Finance

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  1. David E. Altig & Owen F. Humpage, 1999. "Dollarization and monetary sovereignty: the case of Argentina," Economic Commentary, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, issue Sep 15. [Downloadable!]
  2. Girton, Lance & Roper, Don, 1977. "A Monetary Model of Exchange Market Pressure Applied to the Postwar Canadian Experience," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(4), pages 537-48, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Francois R. Velde & Marcelo Veracierto, 1999. "Dollarization in Argentina," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue Jun. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie & Uribe, Martin, 2001. "Stabilization Policy and the Costs of Dollarization," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(2), pages 482-509, May.
    Other versions:
  5. Mark M. Spiegel, 1999. "Dollarization in Argentina," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Sep 24. [Downloadable!]
  6. Tamim Bayoumi & Barry Eichengreen, 1992. "Shocking Aspects of European Monetary Unification," NBER Working Papers 3949, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. Calvo, Guillermo A, 2001. "Capital Markets and the Exchange Rate with Special Reference to the Dollarization Debate in Latin America," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 33(2), pages 312-34, May.
  8. Blanchard, Olivier Jean & Quah, Danny, 1989. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbances," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(4), pages 655-73, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  9. Guillermo A. Calvo, 2001. "Capital markets and the exchange rate with special reference to the dollarization debate in Latin America," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 312-338.
  10. Tamim Bayoumi, 1991. "The Effect of the ERM on Participating Economies," IMF Working Papers 91/86, International Monetary Fund.
  11. anonymous, 1999. "Responding to global crises: dollarization in Latin America," EconSouth, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Q2, pages 14-19.
  12. Guillermo Calvo & Carmen Reinhart & Leonardo Leiderman, 1992. "Capital Inflows and Real Exchange Rate Appreciation in Latin America: The Role of External Factors," IMF Working Papers 92/62, International Monetary Fund.
    Other versions:
  13. Tamim Bayoumi & Barry J. Eichengreen, 1993. "Monetary and Exchange Rate Arrangements for NAFTA," IMF Working Papers 93/20, International Monetary Fund.
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  14. Paul Hallwood, C. & MacDonald, Ronald & Marsh, Ian W., 2000. "Realignment expectations and the US dollar, 1890-1897: Was there a 'Peso problem'?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 605-620, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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