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Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk

Author

Listed:
  • Salm, M.

    (Tilburg University, TILEC)

  • Vollaard, B.A.

    (Tilburg University, TILEC)

Abstract

We provide evidence that perceptions of crime risk are severely biased for many years after a move to a new neighborhood. Based on four successive waves of a large crime survey, matched with administrative records on household relocations, we find that the longer an individual lives in a neighborhood, the higher their perception of the crime rate in the neighborhood. This finding holds irrespective of whether the move is from a relatively low-crime to a relatively high-crime area or vice versa. We find that avoidance behavior adjusts in line with the observed changes in beliefs.
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Suggested Citation

  • Salm, M. & Vollaard, B.A., 2014. "Individual Perceptions of Local Crime Risk," Discussion Paper 2014-044, Tilburg University, Tilburg Law and Economic Center.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiutil:7d0519da-c827-4f5d-9b0a-561b59f35ec1
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    heuristic; Victimization; crime;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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