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The Financial Accelerator: Evidence using a procedure of Structural Model Design

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Author Info
Roger Hammersland and Dag Henning Jacobsen () (Statistics Norway)
Abstract

We find empirical evidence of a financial accelerator using a data based procedure of Structural Model Design. Credit to firms, asset prices and aggregate economic activity interact over the business cycle in our empirical model of a dynamic economy. Furthermore, the interdependence between credit and asset prices creates a mechanism by which the effects of shocks persist and amplify. However, while innovations to asset prices and credit do cause short-run movements in production, and while real activity spurs credit, such innovations do not precede real economy movements in the long run. Hence, there obviously is a case for Modigliani-Miller in the long run.

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Paper provided by Research Department of Statistics Norway in its series Discussion Papers with number 569.

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Date of creation: Dec 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ssb:dispap:569

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Related research
Keywords: Financial variables and the real economy; The Financial Accelerator; Business fluctuations; Structural vector Error Correction modeling; Identification; Cointegration.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2005. "The 'News' View of Economic Fluctuations: Evidence from Aggregate Japanese Data and Sectoral US Data," CEPR Discussion Papers 5176, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Lown, Cara & Morgan, Donald P., 2006. "The Credit Cycle and the Business Cycle: New Findings Using the Loan Officer Opinion Survey," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 38(6), pages 1575-1597, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Bardsen, Gunnar & Klovland, Jan Tore, 2000. " Shaken or Stirred? Financial Deregulation and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Norway," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 102(4), pages 563-83, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-13.


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