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Revisiting the role of multiplicative uncertainty in a model without inflationary bias

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  • Giuseppe Ciccarone
  • Enrico Marchetti

Abstract

Kobayashi (2003) aims to show that, in a model without inflationary bias, an increase in the degree of multiplicative uncertainty on the transmission mechanism of monetary policy improves social welfare when central bank’s preferences are highly uncertain. We demonstrate that this result applies only to the case in which society is strictly conservative, i.e., when the weight attached to output in the social welfare function is lower than one.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Rome La Sapienza, Department of Public Economics in its series Working Papers with number 110.

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Length: 11
Date of creation: Feb 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:sap:wpaper:wp110

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Related research

Keywords: Multiplicative uncertainty; Brainard conservatism; Uncertain preferences; Monetary policy.;

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References

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  1. Kobayashi, Teruyoshi, 2003. "Multiplicative uncertainty in a model without inflationary bias," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 317-321, September.
  2. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Enrico Marchetti & Giovanni Di Bartolomeo, 2007. "Unions, Fiscal Policy And Central Bank Transparency," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 75(5), pages 617-633, 09.
  3. Muscatelli, Anton, 1998. "Optimal Inflation Contracts and Inflation Targets with Uncertain Central Bank Preferences: Accountability through Independence?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 108(447), pages 529-42, March.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Giuseppe Ciccarone & Enrico Marchetti, 2012. "Optimal linear contracts under common agency and uncertain central bank preferences," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 150(1), pages 263-282, January.
  2. Meixing Dai & Qiao Zhang, 2013. "Central bank transparency with the cost channel," Working Papers of BETA 2013-06, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  3. Meixing Dai, 2010. "Multiplicative uncertainty, central bank transparency and optimal degree of conservativeness," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(3), pages 1720-1726.
  4. Meixing Dai, 2012. "Static and Dynamic Effects of Central Bank Transparency," Working Papers of BETA 2012-08, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.

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