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Collateral constraints and macroeconomic volatility

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  • Winfried Koeniger

    (Queen Mary University of London)

  • Thomas Hintermaier

    (Economics, Univ Bonn)

Abstract

We show how realistic occasionally binding collateral constraints increase macroeconomic volatility. Collateral constraints imply that the effect of consumers' choices on the price of collateral feeds back into the set of feasible choices, thus giving rise to multiple equilibria. We characterize how the possibility of multiple equilibria depends on aggregate wealth. We find that for low levels of wealth the economy is vulnerable to changes of consumer confidence (sunspots) which increase the volatility of prices and consumption.

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File URL: http://www.economicdynamics.org/meetpapers/2012/paper_390.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2012 Meeting Papers with number 390.

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Date of creation: 2012
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed012:390

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Postal: Society for Economic Dynamics Christian Zimmermann Economic Research Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis PO Box 442 St. Louis MO 63166-0442 USA
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Web page: http://www.EconomicDynamics.org/society.htm
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  1. Zhigang Feng & Jianjun Miao & Adrian Peralta‐Alva & Manuel S. Santos, 2014. "Numerical Simulation Of Nonoptimal Dynamic Equilibrium Models," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 55, pages 83-110, 02.
  2. Harold L. Cole & Timothy J. Kehoe, 1998. "Self-fulfilling debt crises," Staff Report 211, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  3. Bajari, Patrick & Chan, Phoebe & Krueger, Dirk & Miller, Daniel, 2010. "A Dynamic Model of Housing Demand: Estimation and Policy Implications," CEPR Discussion Papers 7911, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  4. Karen A. Kopecky & Richard M. H. Suen, 2009. "Finite State Markov-Chain Approximations to Highly Persistent Processes," Working Papers 200904, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics, revised May 2009.
  5. Johannes Brumm & Michael GRILL & Felix KUBLER & Karl SCHMEDDERS, . "Collateral Requirements and Asset Prices," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 11-10, Swiss Finance Institute.
  6. Enrique G. Mendoza, 2010. "Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 1941-66, December.
  7. Hintermaier, Thomas & Koeniger, Winfried, 2010. "The method of endogenous gridpoints with occasionally binding constraints among endogenous variables," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(10), pages 2074-2088, October.
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