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Volatility Transmission between Islamic and Conventional Equity Markets: Evidence from Causality-in-Variance Test

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Author Info

  • Saban Nazlioglu

    ()
    (Department of Econometrics, Pamukkale University, Denizli-Turkey)

  • Shawkat Hammoudeh

    ()
    (Lebow College of Business, Drexel University, Philadelphia, USA)

  • Rangan Gupta

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Pretoria)

Abstract

This paper examines whether a volatility/risk transmission exists between the Dow Jones Islamic stock and three conventional stock markets for the U.S., Europe, and Asia during the pre- and the in- and post-2008 crisis periods. It also explores the volatility spillover dynamics between those markets and U.S. Monetary policy, oil prices, global financial risk and uncertainty factors. The recently developed Hafner and Herwartz (2006)’s causality-in-variance test provides evidence of risk transfers between these seemingly different equity markets, indicating a contagion between them. The volatility structure of these markets is dominated by short-run volatility in the first period and by high long-run volatility in the second period. The volatility impulse response analysis indicates a similar volatility transmission pattern although it is characterized by a more volatile and short-lived structure in the second period. It also appears that the Islamic equity market responds to shocks from risk factors and not from the oil price and the U.S. economic policy uncertainty index during both periods.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Pretoria, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 201384.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pre:wpaper:201384

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Keywords: Islamic and conventional equity markets; volatility spillover;

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  1. Sangbae Kim & Francis In & Christopher Viney, 2001. "Modelling Linkages Between Australian Financial Futures Markets," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 26(1), pages 19-34, June.
  2. Graham Elliott & Thomas J. Rothenberg & James H. Stock, 1992. "Efficient Tests for an Autoregressive Unit Root," NBER Technical Working Papers 0130, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
  4. Nazlioglu, Saban & Erdem, Cumhur & Soytas, Ugur, 2013. "Volatility spillover between oil and agricultural commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 658-665.
  5. Lorenzo Cappiello & Robert F. Engle & Kevin Sheppard, 2006. "Asymmetric Dynamics in the Correlations of Global Equity and Bond Returns," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 4(4), pages 537-572.
  6. Pesaran, H. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1998. "Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(1), pages 17-29, January.
  7. Hong, Yongmiao, 2001. "A test for volatility spillover with application to exchange rates," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1-2), pages 183-224, July.
  8. Cheung, Yin-Wong & Ng, Lilian K., 1996. "A causality-in-variance test and its application to financial market prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1-2), pages 33-48.
  9. Hafner, Christian M. & Herwartz, Helmut, 2006. "A Lagrange multiplier test for causality in variance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 137-141, October.
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Cited by:
  1. Mehmet Balcilar & Charl Jooste & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Rangan Gupta & Vassilios Babalos, 2014. "Are there Long-Run Diversification Gains from the Dow Jones Islamic Finance Index?," Working Papers 201433, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

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