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A Panel Analysis of Polish Regional Cities Residential Price Convergence in the Primary Market

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  • Matysiak, George
  • Olszewski, Krzysztof

Abstract

We employ two methodologies in order to identify groupings of cities and to analyse the factors which drive convergence in residential prices across Polish prime markets over the period 2007-2018. The Phillips and Sul (2007) methodology is used to identify convergence in primary residential prices in the major Polish cities. The results indicate that residential prices do not converge to a single common trend. However, we find the existence of three distinct sub-groups of cities (‘clubs’) where residential prices converge to their own steady-state paths. Using an ordered logit model, we investigate supply and demand factors determining club membership, which subsequently allocates 13 out of the 15 cities as belonging to the clubs identified by the Phillips and Sul procedure.

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  • Matysiak, George & Olszewski, Krzysztof, 2019. "A Panel Analysis of Polish Regional Cities Residential Price Convergence in the Primary Market," MPRA Paper 94660, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:94660
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    Cited by:

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    2. Mateusz Tomal & Agata Gumieniak, 2020. "Agricultural Land Price Convergence: Evidence from Polish Provinces," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, May.
    3. Santiago, Renato & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso, 2020. "An analysis of the energy intensity of Latin American and Caribbean countries: Empirical evidence on the role of public and private capital stock," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    4. Mateusz Tomal, 2022. "Testing for overall and cluster convergence of housing rents using robust methodology: evidence from Polish provincial capitals," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 2023-2055, April.
    5. Doszyń Mariusz, 2023. "Integration and Cointegration of Apartment Prices on the Primary and Secondary Market in Szczecin in the Years 2006-2022," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 31(4), pages 36-44, December.
    6. Rajesh Raj & Rath D.P., 2022. "House Price Convergence: Evidence from India [Convergence des prix des logements : le cas indien]," Working papers 893, Banque de France.
    7. Raj Rajesh & Deba Prasad Rath, 2023. "House price convergence: evidence from India," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 721-747, September.
    8. Wisniewski, Radoslaw & Brzezicka, Justyna, 2020. "Translocality on the real estate market: A new extended approach," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Polish residential prices; Phillips and Sul; panel convergence; relative transition; ordered logit model.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R1 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics
    • R15 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Econometric and Input-Output Models; Other Methods
    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets
    • R32 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Other Spatial Production and Pricing Analysis

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