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Changement climatique, agriculture et croissance économique :Une modélisation VAR
[Climate Change, Agriculture and Economic Growth: A VAR modeling]

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  • Zouabi, Oussama

Abstract

The present study is to show the impact of precipitation and temperature on economic growth through agriculture in Tunisia. Agriculture is considered a key sector is of great importance in the Tunisian economy. Furthermore, the presence of climate change in developing countries in the Mediterranean region has been regarded as a place of transition between two major climatic units, becomes a certainty and is an ecological, economic and social threat. This analysis was made on the basis of tests of stationarity and a VAR model. The findings of the study that there is a long-term relationship between temperature and rainfall. In addition, temperature has a direct negative effect on economic growth in Tunisia.

Suggested Citation

  • Zouabi, Oussama, 2012. "Changement climatique, agriculture et croissance économique :Une modélisation VAR [Climate Change, Agriculture and Economic Growth: A VAR modeling]," MPRA Paper 61072, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:61072
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; agricultural; GDP and VAR.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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