IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/54630.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

اختبار أثر التقلب العنقودي لمؤشر تداول باستخدام الارتباط الذاتي المدحرج
[Test of Clustering Volatility of TASI index using Rolling Autocorrelation]

Author

Listed:
  • Ghassan, Hassan B.
  • Alhajhoj, Hassan R.

Abstract

Capital market liberalization allows the access of foreign investors to Saudi stock market especially since 2005. The test of adaptation to the market volatility exhibits the existence of the volatility clustering in the daily return and volume of traded shares. This finding is corroborated by the absence of variance homoscedasticity using BF test. Also, the results indicate that the period between 11.2002 and 01.2006 is more efficient comparatively to other periods. Furthermore, from the start of 2010, there is a relative stability in stock market. The shocks on volatility market are persistent, but their intensity and permanence after the initial liberalization and institutional reforms of the capital market appear to be less in the volume, but more expanded in the prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Ghassan, Hassan B. & Alhajhoj, Hassan R., 2013. "اختبار أثر التقلب العنقودي لمؤشر تداول باستخدام الارتباط الذاتي المدحرج [Test of Clustering Volatility of TASI index using Rolling Autocorrelation]," MPRA Paper 54630, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2013.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:54630
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/54630/1/MPRA_paper_54630.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/80611/1/MPRA_paper_54630.pdf
    File Function: revised version
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/80611/10/MPRA_paper_80611.pdf
    File Function: revised version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey, 2000. "Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 565-613, April.
    2. Cunado, Juncal & Gomez Biscarri, Javier & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2006. "Changes in the dynamic behavior of emerging market volatility: Revisiting the effects of financial liberalization," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 261-278, September.
    3. William Miles, 2002. "Financial Deregulation And Volatility In Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 27(2), pages 113-126, December.
    4. Andrew W. Lo, A. Craig MacKinlay, 1988. "Stock Market Prices do not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 41-66.
    5. Jayasuriya, Shamila, 2005. "Stock market liberalization and volatility in the presence of favorable market characteristics and institutions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 6(2), pages 170-191, June.
    6. Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2000. "Capital Market Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Instability," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 1075-1086, June.
    7. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian, 2006. "Growth volatility and financial liberalization," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 370-403, April.
    8. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R., 2002. "Research in emerging markets finance: looking to the future," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 429-448, December.
    9. Tseng, Jie-Jun & Li, Sai-Ping, 2012. "Quantifying volatility clustering in financial time series," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 11-19.
    10. Juncal Cuñado & Javier Gómez Biscarri & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2006. "Changes in the Dynamic Behavior of Emerging Market Volatility: Revisiting the Effects of Financial L," Faculty Working Papers 01/06, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
    11. Anusha Chari & Peter Blair Henry, 2004. "Risk Sharing and Asset Prices: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 59(3), pages 1295-1324, June.
    12. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ghassan, Hassan & Abdullah, Abdelgader, 2009. "Does the entry of foreign investors influence the volatility of Doha Securities Market?," MPRA Paper 95620, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2010.
    2. Ghassan, Hassan B. & Alhajhoj, Hassan R., 2012. "أثر تحرير سوق رأس المال على التذبذب في سوق الأسهم السعودي [Effect of Capital Market Liberalization on Volatility of TASI]," MPRA Paper 54470, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2012.
    3. Buchanan, Bonnie G. & English II, Philip C. & Gordon, Rachel, 2011. "Emerging market benefits, investability and the rule of law," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 47-60, March.
    4. Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2010. "La dynamique de la volatilité boursière autour de l’ouverture des marchés de capitaux," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 192(1), pages 65-82.
    5. Aymen Ben Rejeb & Adel Boughrara, 2014. "The relationship between financial liberalization and stock market volatility: the mediating role of financial crises," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 46-70, March.
    6. Kaya, Ilker & Lyubimov, Konstantin & Miletkov, Mihail, 2012. "To liberalize or not to liberalize: Political and economic determinants of financial liberalization," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 78-99.
    7. Duc NGUYEN, 2008. "An empirical analysis of structural changes in emerging market volatility," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(10), pages 1-10.
    8. Ben Rejeb, Aymen & Boughrara, Adel, 2013. "Financial liberalization and stock markets efficiency: New evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 186-208.
    9. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2008:i:10:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Camilleri, Silvio John & Galea, Gabriella, 2009. "The Diversification Potential Offered by Emerging Markets in Recent Years," MPRA Paper 62491, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Diamandis, Panayiotis F., 2008. "Financial liberalization and changes in the dynamic behaviour of emerging market volatility: Evidence from four Latin American equity markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 362-377, September.
    12. Umutlu, Mehmet & Akdeniz, Levent & Altay-Salih, Aslihan, 2010. "The degree of financial liberalization and aggregated stock-return volatility in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 509-521, March.
    13. Michail Karoglou, 2009. "Stock Market Efficiency before and after a Financial Liberalisation Reform," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 8(3), pages 315-340, September.
    14. Wang, Ping & Theobald, Mike, 2008. "Regime-switching volatility of six East Asian emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 267-283, September.
    15. Li, Xiao-Ming & Rose, Lawrence C., 2009. "The tail risk of emerging stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 242-256, December.
    16. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian, 2011. "Financial Openness and Productivity," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 1-19, January.
    17. Salleh, Norlida & Law, Siong Hook & Sarmidi, Tamat, 2012. "Volatility of Returns and Financial Liberalization: New Evidence," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 46(1), pages 101-106.
    18. Michail Karoglou & Panicos Demetriades & Siong Law, 2011. "One date, one break?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(1), pages 7-24, August.
    19. Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009. "Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 1-11, March.
    20. Kristin J. Forbes, 2007. "The Microeconomic Evidence on Capital Controls: No Free Lunch," NBER Chapters, in: Capital Controls and Capital Flows in Emerging Economies: Policies, Practices, and Consequences, pages 171-202, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    21. Raouf Boucekkine & Benteng Zou, 2019. "A Pedagogical Note on Risk Sharing Versus Instability in International Financial Integration: When Obstfeld Meets Stiglitz," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 179-190, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rolling serial correlation; TASI; Return; Foreign capital Saudi Arabia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:54630. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.