Tipos de Cambio Cuasi-fijo y Posibilidad de Crisis Financieras: Solarizar o Dolarizar la Economía Peruana?
[Fixed Exchange Rates and Possibilities of Financial Crisis: Solarizar or Dollarization of Peruvian Economy?]
AbstractThis working paper has been elaborated with the aim to provide Peruvian policymakers and scholars-academics with economic related concepts and views about the best Monetary Anchor for a Central Bank to deal with control of inflation as well as to prevent them far from possibilities of undesirable financial crisis. We must acknowledge that some causes of financial crisis in developing countries and developed countries like European are very similar such as historical high Fiscal Deficit, Public Debt, excess of domestic spending regarding national income (Current Account Deficit in the Balance of Payments), Moral Hazard, on the other hand reduction of the Foreign Exchange Reserve and Gross Domestic Saving. Furthermore, all the episodes are attached with over valuation of domestic currencies regarding the US$, under the adoption of Fixed Exchange Rate regimens including the Currency Board: Argentina, Brazil, Russia, East Asian, Mexico and Chile, where this price was compelling overvalued that led finally governments to devaluate dramatically their own domestic currencies with the aim to get competitiveness. This way, these countries suffered stoppages of capital influx, capital out flux going back their original countries, contraction of their Exports, Gross Domestic Product, increasing in unemployment rates. Therefore, for emerging and/or developing economies with open markets and relatively tiny participation in the world economy, as well as without the possibility of creating a global currency is highly recommendable to keep up with Flexible Exchange Rate regimens allowing intervention of the Central Bank to deal with external adverse shocks or domestic financial problems with the aim to reduce possibilities of financial crisis.
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 42029.
Date of creation: Sep 2003
Date of revision:
Financial Crisis; Monetary Anchor; Exchange Rate; Dollarization; Solarización;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- F02 - International Economics - - General - - - International Economic Order; Noneconomic International Organizations;; Economic Integration and Globalization: General
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Steven Radelet & Jeffrey Sachs, 1998. "The Onset of the East Asian Financial Crisis," NBER Working Papers 6680, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Felipe G. Morandé & Matías Tapia, 2002.
"Exchange Rate Policy in Chile: From the Band to Floating and Beyond,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile, Central Bank of Chile
152, Central Bank of Chile.
- Felipe Morandé & Matías Tapia, 2002. "Exchange Rate Policy in Chile: From the Band to Floating and Beyond," Working Papers, University of Chile, Department of Economics wp192, University of Chile, Department of Economics.
- Cipollini, A. & Kapetanios, G., 2009.
"Forecasting financial crises and contagion in Asia using dynamic factor analysis,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier,
Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 188-200, March.
- Andrea Cipollini & George Kapetanios, 2005. "Forecasting Financial Crises and Contagion in Asia Using Dynamic Factor Analysis," Working Papers, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance 538, Queen Mary, University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Andrea Cipollini & George Kapetanios, 2008. "Forecasting Financial Crises and Contagion in Asia using Dynamic Factor Analysis," Center for Economic Research (RECent), University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics 014, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics.
- Andrea Cipollini & George Kapetanios, 2006. "Forecasting Financial Crises and Contagion in Asia using Dynamic Factor Analysis," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006, Society for Computational Economics 477, Society for Computational Economics.
- Robert J. Barro & David B. Gordon, 1981.
"A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural-Rate Model,"
NBER Working Papers
0807, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Barro, Robert J & Gordon, David B, 1983. "A Positive Theory of Monetary Policy in a Natural Rate Model," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(4), pages 589-610, August.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Ekkehart Schlicht).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.