Keynesian Conundrum: Multiplicity and Time Consistent Stabilization
Abstract
This paper identifies a novel form of dynamic inconsistency of stabilization policy in increasing returns models that generate multiple equilibria. We present a two-period model with externalities and derive closed-form solutions for all endogenous variables in every perfect foresight equilibrium. We provide conditions under which the stabilization policy that maximizes time zero consumer welfare is not time consistent. Furthermore, we characterize the time consistent stabilization policy. Our results cast doubts on the usefulness of government coordination of economic activity when the government lacks a commitment mechanism. Without commitment, a benevolent government can rule out multiplicity only by ensuring that a Pareto dominated equilibrium obtains. (Copyright: Elsevier)Download Info
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Article provided by Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics in its journal Review of Economic Dynamics.
Volume (Year): 8 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 154-177
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- Bill Dupor, 1999. "Keynesian conundrum: multiplicity and time consistent stabilization," Discussion Paper / Institute for Empirical Macroeconomics 131, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
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- Patrick A. Pintus, 2008. "Laffer traps and monetary policy," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue May, pages 165-174.
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