Public Debt Maturity And Currency Crises
AbstractThis paper provides a theoretical and empirical examination of the eÂ®ect of debt structure on the probability of a currency crisis and the slope of the yield curve. We employ an open-economy version of the Barro-Gordon model with public debt, as in Benigno and Missale (2004) and generalize the analysis to allow for the case where the monetary authority can fully commit itself to an escape clause monetary rule. Comparing the latter with the discretionary outcomes motivates the asymmetric information game where the signalling eÂ®ect of defending the parity competes with the fundamentals of the debt burden. Two key predictions of the model are tested with positive results.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Scottish Economic Society in its journal Scottish Journal of Political Economy.
Volume (Year): 55 (2008)
Issue (Month): 1 (02)
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Web page: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0036-9292
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- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
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