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Industry specialization, diversification, churning, and unemployment in Chinese cities

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Author Info
Fu, Shihe
Dong, Xiaofang
Chai, Guojun

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Abstract

This paper studies how industry specialization, diversification, and churning affect unemployment rates in Chinese cities. Using a city level panel data set from 1997 to 2006, we find that the specialization of wholesale and retail industry can significantly decrease unemployment rate; however, specializing in finance industry increases unemployment rate. In contrast to the evidence from developed countries, industry diversity is positively and significantly associated with unemployment rates in Chinese cities, possibly due to the higher degree of industry churning during the sample period. We also find that urban economic growth, market maturity measured by the proportion of private sector employment, and human capital can decrease unemployment rate. Industry diversity does not stabilize unemployment; wholesale and retail industry increases unemployment fluctuations; but market maturity and human capital stabilize unemployment.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15339/
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 15339.

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Date of creation: May 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:15339

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Related research
Keywords: Industry structure; specialization; industry diversity; unemployment; churning;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
R11 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Analysis of Growth, Development, and Changes
R23 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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  1. Oded Izraeli & Kevin J. Murphy, 2003. "The effect of industrial diversity on state unemployment rate and per capita income," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 1-14, 02. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Liang, Qi & Teng, Jian-Zhou, 2006. "Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 395-411. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. John E. Wagner & Steven C. Deller, 1998. "Measuring the Effects of Economic Diversity on Growth and Stability," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 74(4), pages 541-556. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Findeisen, Sebastian & Südekum, Jens, 2008. "Industry churning and the evolution of cities: Evidence for Germany," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 326-339, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Simon, Curtis J, 1987. "Industrial Diversity, Vacancy Dispersion, and Unemployment," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 60-73, July.
  6. Knight, John & Li, Shi, 2005. "Wages, firm profitability and labor market segmentation in urban China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 205-228. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Gan, Li & Zhang, Qinghua, 2006. "The thick market effect on local unemployment rate fluctuations," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 127-152, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Keizo Mizuno & Fumitoshi Mizutani & Noriyoshi Nakayama, 2006. "Industrial diversity and metropolitan unemployment rate," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 40(1), pages 157-172, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Barkume, Anthony J., 1982. "Differentiating employment prospects by industry and returns to job search in metropolitan areas," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 68-84, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Simon, Curtis J, 1988. "Frictional Unemployment and the Role of Industrial Diversity," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 103(4), pages 715-28, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Li Gan & Qi Li, 2004. "Efficiency of Thin and Thick Markets," NBER Working Papers 10815, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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