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The determinants of early marriage and under-five child mortality in Afghanistan

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  • Shonazarova, Shirin
  • Eshchanov, Bahtiyor

Abstract

We use data from the Demographic and Health Survey of Afghanistan 2015 to conduct a study of determinants of early marriage and effect of early marriage on child mortality under five years. In order to conduct this study, binary logit, probit (Marginal effects) and OLS regression methods were used. The first step in this study was to find the determinants of early marriage and conduct binary logit analysis. According to the result, it was found that the main determinants of early marriage are the education of women, employment status, exposure to media, ethnicity, current age group, marital status, number of wives and unions, region, place of residence and age at first sexual activity. Education, ethnicity, age at first sexual activity significantly affect the likelihood of early marriage. Moreover, after finding the determinants of early marriage, we analyzed the effect of early marriage on child mortality under five years using probit (Marginal effects) and OLS regression methods. According to the results obtained after the analysis, it was found that early marriage increases the likelihood of child mortality by 17.57%, 17.54% and 14.28% among all children, sons and daughters, respectively. According to OLS estimates, early marriage increases child mortality by 0.04, 0.02, and 0.02 among all children, sons, and daughters, respectively. Moreover, it was found that number of wives, years since first cohabitation, contraceptive usage, age at first birth, place of residence, wealth index, number of family members, women and children under five years and ethnicity affect the likelihood and number of children mortality under five years. Also, we address endogeneity problem of origin household selection.

Suggested Citation

  • Shonazarova, Shirin & Eshchanov, Bahtiyor, 2020. "The determinants of early marriage and under-five child mortality in Afghanistan," MPRA Paper 107684, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:107684
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sheetal Sekhri & Sisir Debnath, 2014. "Intergenerational Consequences of Early Age Marriages of Girls: Effect on Children's Human Capital," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(12), pages 1670-1686, December.
    2. Erica Field & Attila Ambrus, 2008. "Early Marriage, Age of Menarche, and Female Schooling Attainment in Bangladesh," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 116(5), pages 881-930, October.
    3. Ambrus, Attila & Field, Erica, 2008. "Early Marriage, Age of Menarche, and Female Schooling Attainment in Bangladesh," Scholarly Articles 3200264, Harvard University Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Samikshya Poudel & Timothy Dobbins & Husna Razee & Blessing Akombi-Inyang, 2023. "Adolescent Pregnancy in South Asia: A Pooled Analysis of Demographic and Health Surveys," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(12), pages 1-14, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    early marriage; children mortality; determinants of early marriage; Afghanistan;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • I39 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Other
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination

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