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The Gregory Thesis Visits the Tropics

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Author Info
Peter Warr ()
Abstract

A concern about large, export-oriented projects relates to the flows of foreign exchange into the domestic economy that they produce. These flows occur both during the investment phase of the project and subsequently during its operational phase, through export earnings. Foreign exchange inflows produce direct benefits for some groups, but may also indirectly harm others, through an appreciation of the real exchange rate. These indirect outcomes, known as the 'Gregory effect' in Australia and as the 'Dutch disease' or 'booming sector' effect elsewhere, are studied in this paper in the context of a large infrastructure project in Laos.

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File URL: http://rspas.anu.edu.au/economics/publish/papers/wp2006/wp-econ-2006-03.pdf
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Paper provided by Australian National University, Economics RSPAS in its series Departmental Working Papers with number 2006-03.

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Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pas:papers:2006-03

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Keywords: F32; O11; O53;

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  1. Gregory, R.G., 1976. "Some Implications Of The Growth Of The Mineral Sector," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 20(02), August. [Downloadable!]
  2. Cassing, James H. & Warr, Peter G., 1985. "The distributional impact of a resource boom," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3-4), pages 301-319, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Corden, W Max & Neary, J Peter, 1982. "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 825-48, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Corden, W M, 1984. "Booming Sector and Dutch Disease Economics: Survey and Consolidation," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(3), pages 359-80, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Snape, Richard H., 1977. "Effects Of Mineral Development On The Economy," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 21(03), December. [Downloadable!]
  6. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Lewis, Jeffrey D & Robinson, Sherman, 1993. "External Shocks, Purchasing Power Parity, and the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 7(1), pages 45-63, January.
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  1. Yusuf, Arief Anshory, 2006. "Constructing Indonesian Social Accounting Matrix for Distributional Analysis in the CGE Modelling Framework," MPRA Paper 1730, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Arief Anshory Yusuf & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2007. "On the Distributional Effect of Carbon Tax in Developing Countries: The Case of Indonesia," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200705, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Aug 2007. [Downloadable!]
  3. Yusuf, Arief Anshory & Resosudarmo, Budy P., 2007. "Searching for Equitable Energy Price Reform for Indonesia," MPRA Paper 1946, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Mar 2007. [Downloadable!]
  4. Arief Anshory Yusuf, 2008. "The Distributional Impact of Environmental Policy: The Case of Carbon Tax and Energy Pricing Reform in Indonesia," EEPSEA Research Report rr2008101, Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA), revised Oct 2008. [Downloadable!]
  5. Arief Anshory Yusuf, 2008. "INDONESIA-E3: An Indonesian Applied General Equilibrium Model for Analyzing the Economy, Equity, and the Environment," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200804, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Sep 2008. [Downloadable!]
  6. Kenneth W Clements & Yihui Lan & John Roberts, 2007. "Exchange-Rate Economics for the Resources Sector," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 07-13, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  7. Arief Anshory Yusuf & Budy P. Resosudarmo, 2007. "Searching for Equitable Energy Pricing Reform for Indonesia," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200701, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Dec 2007. [Downloadable!]
  8. Arief Anshory Yusuf & Arief Ramayandi, 2008. "Reducing fuel subsidy or taxing carbon? Comparing the two instruments from the economy, environment, and equity perspective for Indonesia," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 200808, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Oct 2008. [Downloadable!]
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