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Is it a Fallacy to Believe in the Hot Hand in the NBA Three-Point Contest?

Author

Listed:
  • Miller, Joshua Benjamin

    (The University of Melbourne)

  • Sanjurjo, Adam

Abstract

The NBA Three-Point Contest has been considered an ideal setting to study the hot hand, as it showcases the elite professional shooters that hot hand beliefs are typically directed towards, but in an environment that eliminates many of the confounds present in game action. We collect 29 years of NBA Three-Point Contest television broadcast data (1986-2015), apply a statistical approach that improves on those of previous studies, and find considerable evidence of hot hand shooting in and across individuals. Our results support fans' and experts' widely held belief in the hot hand among NBA shooters.

Suggested Citation

  • Miller, Joshua Benjamin & Sanjurjo, Adam, 2018. "Is it a Fallacy to Believe in the Hot Hand in the NBA Three-Point Contest?," OSF Preprints dmksp, Center for Open Science.
    • Handle: RePEc:osf:osfxxx:dmksp
    DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/dmksp
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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