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Stable Sunspot Solutions in Models with Predetermined Variables Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics George W. Evans () (University of Oregon Economics Department)
Bruce McGough (Oregon State University)
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We consider a linear stochastic univariate rational expectations model, with a predetermined variable, and provide alternative representations of SSEs (stationary sunspot equilibria). For a strict subset of the parameter space there exist SSEs that are locally stable under least squares learning provided agents use a common factor representation for their estimated law of motion. These results indicate that for some parameter regions SSEs are more likely to arise under private agent learning than previously recognized.
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Paper provided by University of Oregon Economics Department in its series University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers with number
2002-16.
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Length: 43
Date of creation: 17 Apr 2002Date of revision:
29 May 2003Handle: RePEc:ore:uoecwp:2002-16Contact details of provider: Postal: 1285 University of Oregon, 435 PLC, Eugene, OR 97403-1285 Phone: (541) 346-4661 Fax: (541) 346-1243 Email: Web page: http://economics.uoregon.edu/ More information through EDIRC
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its listing, contact: (Bill Harbaugh).
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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)Bennett T. McCallum, 2002.
"Consistent Expectations, Rational Expectations, Multiple-Solution Indeterminacies, and Least-Squares Learnability ,"
NBER Working Papers
9218, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
George W. Evans & Bruce McGough, 2004.
"Monetary Policy and Stable Indeterminacy with Inertia ,"
University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers
2004-4, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 29 Mar 2004.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Shu-Heng Chen & Chung-Chih Liao & Pei-Jung Chou, 2008.
"On the plausibility of sunspot equilibria ,"
Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination ,
Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 25-41, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
George W. Evans & Bruce McGough, 2005.
"Optimal Constrained Interest-rate Rules ,"
University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers
2005-9, University of Oregon Economics Department, revised 31 May 2006.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
Bruce McGough & George Evans, 2004.
"Optimal Constrained Interest Rate Rules ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2004
134, Society for Computational Economics.
GEORGE W. EVANS & BRUCE McGOUGH, 2007.
"Optimal Constrained Interest-Rate Rules ,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 39(6), pages 1335-1356, 09.
[Downloadable!] (restricted) Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2004.
"PPP rules, macroeconomic (In)stability and learning ,"
International Finance Discussion Papers
814, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
[Downloadable!]
William A. Branch & Troy Davig & Bruce McGough, 2007.
"Expectational stability in regime-switching rational expectations models ,"
Research Working Paper
RWP 07-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
[Downloadable!]
George W. Evans & Bruce McGough, 2006.
"Stable Finite-State Markov Sunspots ,"
University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers
2006-13, University of Oregon Economics Department.
[Downloadable!]
Peter von zur Muehlen & Robert J. Tetlow, 2005.
"Robustifying Learnability ,"
Computing in Economics and Finance 2005
437, Society for Computational Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Bennett T. McCallum, 2003.
"The Unique Minimum State Variable RE Solution is E-Stable in All Well Formulated Linear Models ,"
NBER Working Papers
9960, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Evans , George W & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2007.
"Expectations, learning and monetary policy: an overview of recent research ,"
Research Discussion Papers
32/2007, Bank of Finland.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
George Evans & Seppo Honkapohja, 2008.
" Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Research ,"
CDMA Working Paper Series
0802, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
[Downloadable!] Evans, George W & Honkapohja, Seppo, 2008.
"Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy: An Overview of Recent Rersearch ,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
6640, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
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