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The Effects of Trade Policy Reform: What Do We Really Know?

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Author Info
Ann Harrison
Ana Revenga

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Abstract

The magnitude of existing research on the effects of trade reform is impressive. Yet economists have not reached a clear consensus on a number of important questions such as the labor market impact of trade reform, the linkages between trade and foreign direct investment, and the relationship between trade and growth. In this paper we attempt to clarify what we know about the relationship between trade reform, factor markets, and growth. Although many studies have shown a positive relationship between various measures of openness and growth, many nagging problems remain. Trade policy is almost never measured using the most obvious indicators -- such as tariffs. In addition, many studies are plagued by serious econometric problems. The evidence on labor markets and trade reform is less extensive. Based on the studies to date, it appears that the unemployment and wage effects of trade reforms have generally been small. In the paper, we discuss the possibility that small wage and employment responses are due to labor market regulations. The paper concludes with an analysis of the linkages between trade policies and foreign investment flows. Our evidence suggests that trade reform has been accompanied by significant increases in investment inflows.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 5225.

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Date of creation: Aug 1995
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:5225

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Carmen Pagés-Serra & Gustavo Márquez, 1998. "Comercio y empleo: elementos de juicio de América Latina y el Caribe," RES Working Papers 4109, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Fabio Schiantarelli, 2005. "Product Market Regulation and Macroeconomic Performance: A Review of Cross Country Evidence," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 623, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 04 Aug 2008. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Daniel Trefler, 2004. "The Long and Short of the Canada-U. S. Free Trade Agreement," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 870-895, September. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Melanie Lansbury & Nigel Pain & Katerina Smidkova, 2004. "Foreign Direct Investment in Central Europe Since 1990: An Econometric Study," Macroeconomics 0404002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  5. Antonio Spilimbergo & Juan Luis Londoño & Miguel Székely, 1997. "Distribución del ingreso, dotación de factores y apertura comercial," RES Working Papers 4089, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jean-Jacques Hallaert, 2007. "Can Regional Integration Accelerate Development in Africa? CGE Model Simulations of the Impact of the SADC FTA on the Republic of Madagascar," IMF Working Papers 07/66, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  7. Wacziarg, Romain, 1998. "Measuring the dynamic gains from trade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2001, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Panagiotis Liargovas, Dionysios Chionis, 2001. "Economic Integration between the European Union and the Transition Economies of Central European Initiative Countries," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 57-70, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Antonio Spilimbergo & Juan Luis Londoño & Miguel Székely, 1997. "Income Distribution, Factor Endowments, and Trade Openness," RES Working Papers 4088, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Akhter, Naseem & Ali, Amanat, 2007. "Does Trade Liberalization Increase the Labor Demand Elasticities? Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 3881, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  11. Nahuis, R., 1997. "On globalisation, trade and wages," Research Memorandum 747, Tilburg University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration. [Downloadable!]
  12. Devashish Mitra, 2001. "Trade Liberalization, Labor Markets and Imperfect Competition," Economics Study Area Working Papers 29, East-West Center, Economics Study Area. [Downloadable!]
  13. Diaz-Bautista, Alejandro, 2002. "The role of telecommunications infrastructure and human capital: Mexico´s economic growth and convergence," ERSA conference papers ersa02p102, European Regional Science Association. [Downloadable!]
  14. Carmen Pagés-Serra & Gustavo Márquez, 1998. "Trade and Employment: Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean," RES Working Papers 4108, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  15. Yilmaz Akyuz, 2005. "Trade, Growth and Industralization: Issues, Experience and Policy Challenges," Working Papers 2005/3, Turkish Economic Association. [Downloadable!]
  16. Nicholas Apergis & Costantinos Katrakilidis & Nikolaos Tabakis, 2006. "Dynamic Linkages between FDI Inflows and Domestic Investment: A Panel Cointegration Approach," Atlantic Economic Journal, International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 34(4), pages 385-394, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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