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Cigarette Excise Taxation: The Impact of Tax Structure on Prices, Revenues, and Cigarette Smoking

Author

Listed:
  • Frank J. Chaloupka, IV
  • Richard Peck
  • John A. Tauras
  • Xin Xu
  • Ayda Yurekli

Abstract

The main purpose of this study is to provide empirical evidence on the effects of the cigarette excise tax structure on three outcomes: cigarette prices, government revenues, and cigarette consumption. We composed cross-sectional time-series data for 21 EU countries from year 1998 to 2007 from various data resources. We provide strong evidence that the price gap between premium and low-priced brands is larger in countries with a greater share of ad valorem tax. A 10-percent raise in the share of ad valorem tax in total excise tax leads to about a 4 to 5 percent increase in the price gap, with a smaller impact in more concentrated markets. Our estimates confirm that greater instability of government tax revenues from cigarette excise taxes can be attributed to greater reliance on the ad valorem tax and such instability increases with the growth of manufacturers' market power. We also find that greater reliance on a specific tax has greater impact on cigarette smoking, but the impact diminishes with the growth of manufacturers' market power.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank J. Chaloupka, IV & Richard Peck & John A. Tauras & Xin Xu & Ayda Yurekli, 2010. "Cigarette Excise Taxation: The Impact of Tax Structure on Prices, Revenues, and Cigarette Smoking," NBER Working Papers 16287, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:16287
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jha, Prabhat & Chaloupka, Frank (ed.), 2000. "Tobacco Control in Developing Countries," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780192632463.
    2. Unknown, 2010. "WHO Technical Manual on Tobacco Tax Administration," University of California at San Francisco, Center for Tobacco Control Research and Education qt8tn2317v, Center for Tobacco Control Research and Education, UC San Francisco.
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    2. Hyunchul Kim & Dongwon Lee, 2021. "Racial demographics and cigarette tax shifting: evidence from scanner data," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 1011-1037, August.
    3. Ce Shang & Xuening Wang & Frank J Chaloupka, 2018. "The association between excise tax structures and the price variability of alcoholic beverages in the United States," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(12), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Odermatt, Reto & Stutzer, Alois, 2015. "Smoking bans, cigarette prices and life satisfaction," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 176-194.
    5. Anh Ngo & Geoffrey T. Fong & Lorraine V. Craig & Ce Shang, 2019. "Analysis of Gender Differences in the Impact of Taxation and Taxation Structure on Cigarette Consumption in 17 ITC Countries," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-11, April.
    6. Liang-Ting Tsai & Feng-En Lo & Chih-Chien Yang & Wen-Min Lo & Joseph Jordan Keller & Chiou-Wei Hwang & Ching-Feng Lin & Shu-Yu Lyu & Donald E. Morisky, 2016. "Influence of Socioeconomic Factors, Gender and Indigenous Status on Smoking in Taiwan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-11, October.
    7. Carlo Ciccarelli & Gianni De Fraja & Silvia Tiezzi, 2021. "How hard is it to maximize profit? Evidence from a 19th-century Italian state monopoly [Estimation and hypothesis testing in dynamic singular equation systems]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(2), pages 879-902.
    8. Odermatt, Reto & Stutzer, Alois, 2018. "Tobacco Control Policies and Smoking Behavior in Europe: More Than Trends?," Working papers 2018/24, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    9. Harris, Jeffrey E. & Balsa, Ana Inés & Triunfo, Patricia, 2015. "Tobacco control campaign in Uruguay: Impact on smoking cessation during pregnancy and birth weight," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 186-196.
    10. Luca Colombo & Umberto Galmarini, 2015. "Optimality and distortionary lobbying: regulating tobacco consumption," Working Papers 2015/2, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    11. Marko Primorac & Silvija Vlah Jeric, 2017. "The Structure of Cigarette Excises in the EU: From Myths to Reality," CESifo Working Paper Series 6386, CESifo.
    12. Théophile T Azomahou & Racky Baldé & Abdoulaye Diagne & Pape Yona Mané & Ibrahima Sory Kaba, 2019. "Public finances and tobacco taxation with product variety: Theory and application to Senegal and Nigeria," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(2), pages 1-21, February.
    13. Carlo Ciccarelli & Pierpaolo Pierani & Silvia Tiezzi, 2018. "What Can We Learn about Smoking from 150 Years of Italian Data?," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(4), pages 695-717, December.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • H2 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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