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Capital Mobility and Devaluation in an Optimizing Model with Rational Expectations

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Maurice Obstfeld

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Abstract

This paper examines the effects of ex-change-rate policies when individuals maximize lifetime utility on the basis of rational expectations about the future. The economy studied is one in which the authorities allow free mobility of capital under a crawling-peg exchange-rate regime. Many industrializing economies have adopted a crawling peg as a means of reconciling disparate inflation rates at home and abroad, and some recent efforts to use the rate of crawl as an instrument of anti-inflation policy have attracted considerable interest (see Carlos Diaz Alejandro). Tools similar to those employed here have been applied by Guillermo Calvo (forthcoming) to study this type of exchange-rate management under conditions of capital immobility.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 0557.

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Date of creation: Jul 1981
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:0557

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Frenkel, Jacob A & Rodriguez, Carlos Alfredo, 1975. "Portfolio Equilibrium and the Balance of Payments: A Monetary Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(4), pages 674-88, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Dornbusch, Rudi, 1996. "The Effectiveness of Exchange-Rate Changes," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 26-38, Autumn.
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  1. Changhee Chae, 1987. "Hamiltonian Approaches To The Analysis Of External Debt," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 1(4), pages 19-33, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Maurice Obstfeld, 1988. "Exchange-Rate Dynamics and Optimal Asset Accumulation Revisited," NBER Technical Working Papers 0064, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. repec:eab:microe:576 is not listed on IDEAS
  4. Tom Kompas & Omar Abdel-Razeq, 2001. "A Simple Monetary Growth Model with Variable Rates of Time Preference," Finance Working Papers 582, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Arman Mansoorian & Mohammed Mohsin, 2002. "The Employment, Investment and Current Account Effects of Exchange Rate Policies in a Cash-in-Advance Economy," Working Papers 2002_04, York University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  6. Johanna Francis & Tom Kompas, 2001. "Uzawa's Transformation and Optimal Control Problems with Variable Rates of Time Preference," International and Development Economics Working Papers idec01-12, International and Development Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Dudley, L., 1980. "Macroeconomic Interdependence and the Terms of Trade," Cahiers de recherche 8014, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
  8. Sushanta K. Mallick & Mohammed Mohsin, 2007. "Monetary policy in high inflation open economies: evidence from Israel and Turkey," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 405-415. [Downloadable!]
  9. Arman Mansoorian & Simon Neaime, 1996. "Habits and Durability in Consumption, and the Effects of Exchange Rate Policies," Working Papers 1996_06, York University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  10. Arman Mansoorian & Simon Neaime, 2002. "Habits And Durability In Consumption And The Effects Of Exchange Rate Policies," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 97-114, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Tom Kompas & Omar Abdel-Razeq, 2001. "A Simple Monetary Growth Model with Variable Rates of Time Preference," International and Development Economics Working Papers idec01-10, International and Development Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. Arman Mansoorian, 1999. "On Cash in Advance Constraints for Open Economies," Working Papers 1999_02, York University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  13. Fabio Ghironi, 2000. "Macroeconomic Interdependence under Incomplete Markets," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 471, Boston College Department of Economics, revised 07 Feb 2003. [Downloadable!]
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  14. James G. MacKinnon & Alfred A. Haug & Leo Michelis, 1996. "Numerical Distribution Functions of Likelihood Ratio Tests for Cointegration," Working Papers 1996_07, York University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  15. AKITOBY, Bernardin, 1997. "Termes de l'échange endogènes et cycles économiques réels : une application à la Côte-d'Ivoire," Cahiers de recherche 9701, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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