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Auswirkungen der Bevölkerungsentwicklung auf das wirtschaftliche Niveau der Regionen in Deutschland

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  • Hans-Friedrich Eckey

    ()
    (University of Kassel)

  • Reinhold Kosfeld

    ()
    (University of Kassel)

  • Nina Muraro

    ()
    (University of Kassel)

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of demographic change on production today and in 2020. For the estimation a translog production function is used. The results show a mostly divergent development. It is shown that there is a strong centre-periphery disparity. Taking the population in 2020 into account the result is confirmed with an east-west disparity between peripheral regions in East Germany and urban regions in West Germany. Further there is also a north-south disparity detected because there is a higher increase of the factor labour in southern regions than in the other ones. Generally the cities have a greater benefit from immigration than the peripheral regions. They are confronted with a tendency of shrinkage. The conflict of growth and allocation arises from the point of view of economic policy.

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File URL: http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/magkspapers/01-2009_eckey.pdf
File Function: First version, 2009
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) in its series MAGKS Papers on Economics with number 200901.

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Length: 64 pages
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in
Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:200901

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Keywords: regional production function; productivity; spatial distribution; demographic change;

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Cited by:
  1. Reinhold Kosfeld & Hans-Friedrich Eckey, 2008. "Market Access, Regional Price Level and Wage Disparities: The German Case," MAGKS Papers on Economics 200814, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
  2. Oliver Holtemöller & Maike Irrek & Birgit Schultz, 2012. "A Federal Long-run Projection Model for Germany," IWH Discussion Papers 11, Halle Institute for Economic Research.

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