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Auswirkungen der Bevölkerungsentwicklung auf das wirtschaftliche Niveau der Regionen in Deutschland

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Author Info
Hans-Friedrich Eckey () (University Kassel, Nora-Platiel-Str. 4, 34109 Kassel)
Reinhold Kosfeld () (University Kassel, Nora-Platiel-Str. 5, 34109 Kassel)
Nina Muraro () (University Kassel, Nora-Platiel-Str. 4, 34109 Kassel)

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Abstract

This paper examines the impact of demographic change on production today and in 2020. For the estimation a translog production function is used. The results show a mostly divergent development. It is shown that there is a strong centre-periphery disparity. Taking the population in 2020 into account the result is confirmed with an east-west disparity between peripheral regions in East Germany and urban regions in West Germany. Further there is also a north-south disparity detected because there is a higher increase of the factor labour in southern regions than in the other ones. Generally the cities have a greater benefit from immigration than the peripheral regions. They are confronted with a tendency of shrinkage. The conflict of growth and allocation arises from the point of view of economic policy.

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File URL: http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/magkspapers/01-2009_Eckey.pdf
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File Function: First version, 2009
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung) in its series MAGKS Papers on Economics with number 200901.

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Length: 64 pages
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision:
Publication status: Forthcoming in
Handle: RePEc:mar:magkse:200901

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Related research
Keywords: regional production function; productivity; spatial distribution; demographic change;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Capital and Total Factor Productivity; Capacity
E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts
R11 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Analysis of Growth, Development, and Changes
R12 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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