The Great Export Recovery in German Manufacturing Industries, 2009/2010
AbstractThis paper uses comprehensive high-quality panel data from official statistics for exporting enterprises to investigate the micro-structure of the recent export recovery in 2010 in manufacturing industries in Germany after the great recession of 2008/2009. Almost all of the increase in exports was due to positive changes of exports in firms that continue to export (i.e. at the so-called intensive margin) while the increase of exports due to export starters (at the so-called extensive margin) was tiny. It is shown that Idiosyncratic shocks to very large firms played a decisive role in shaping the export recovery. These findings are remarkably symmetric to the results from an analysis of the great export collapse of 2008/09.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of Lüneburg, Institute of Economics in its series Working Paper Series in Economics with number 253.
Length: 27 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2012
Date of revision:
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Exports; great export recovery; granular economy; Germany;
Other versions of this item:
- Joachim Wagner, 2013. "The Great Export Recovery in German Manufacturing Industries, 2009/2010," Review of Economics, Lucius & Lucius, vol. 64(3), pages 325-340.
- Wagner, Joachim, 2012. "The Great Export Recovery in German Manufacturing Industries, 2009/2010," Working Paper Series in Economics and Institutions of Innovation 288, Royal Institute of Technology, CESIS - Centre of Excellence for Science and Innovation Studies.
- F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2012-11-17 (All new papers)
- NEP-EUR-2012-11-17 (Microeconomic European Issues)
- NEP-INT-2012-11-17 (International Trade)
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