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The granular nature of the great export collapse in German manufacturing industries, 2008/2009

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  • Wagner, Joachim

Abstract

This paper uses comprehensive high-quality panel data from official statistics for exporting enterprises to investigate the micro-structure of the recent export collapse in manufacturing industries in Germany during the crisis of 2008/2009. Almost all of the decline in exports was due to negative changes of exports in firms that continue to export (i.e. at the so-called intensive margin) while the decrease of exports due to export stoppers (at the so-called extensive margin) was tiny. It is shown that idiosyncratic shocks to very large firms played a decisive role in shaping the export collapse.

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  • Wagner, Joachim, 2013. "The granular nature of the great export collapse in German manufacturing industries, 2008/2009," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 7, pages 1-21.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:20135
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-5
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wagner Joachim, 2014. "The Role of Extensive Margins of Exports in The Great Export Recovery in Germany, 2009/2010," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 234(4), pages 518-526, August.
    3. Lopez, Carmen & Yacine Haddoud, Mohamed & Kasturiratne, Dulekha, 2022. "Revisiting the innovation–export entry link through a configuration approach," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 927-937.
    4. Wagner Joachim, 2016. "Exporter and Importer Dynamics Database for Germany," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 236(3), pages 411-420, May.
    5. Wagner Joachim, 2014. "A Note on the Granular Nature of Imports in German Manufacturing Industries," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 65(3), pages 241-252, December.
    6. Joachim Wagner, 2013. "Extensive margins of imports in the great import recovery in Germany, 2009/2010," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2732-2743.
    7. Carlos Melo Gouveia & Cristina Manteu & Sónia Cabral, 2020. "The granularity of Portuguese firm-level exports," Economic Bulletin and Financial Stability Report Articles and Banco de Portugal Economic Studies, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    exports; great trade collapse; granular economy; Germany;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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