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Modeling Macroeconomic Shocks in the CFA Franc Zone

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Author Info
David Fielding ()
Kalvinder Shields ()

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Abstract

In this paper we modify the method of Blanchard and Quah (1989) in order to estimate a structural VAR model appropriate for a small open economy. In this way we identify shocks to output and prices in the members of the two monetary unions that make up the African CFA Franc Zone. The costs of monetary union membership will depend on the extent to which price and output shocks are correlated across countries, and the degree of similarity in the long run effects of the shocks on the macro-economy. The policy conclusions depend on the relative importance of different macroeconomic variables to policymakers, and the speed with which a policymaker is able to respond to a shock.

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File URL: http://www.le.ac.uk/economics/research/RePEc/lec/leecon/econ00-7.pdf
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Paper provided by Department of Economics, University of Leicester in its series Discussion Papers in Economics with number 00/7.

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Date of creation: Jun 2000
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Handle: RePEc:lec:leecon:00/7

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Keywords: Franc Zone; Optimal Currency Areas; Structural VAR Models;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
O23 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development
F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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  1. Charalambos G. Tsangarides & Pierre Ewenczyk & Michal Hulej, 2006. "Stylized Facts on Bilateral Trade and Currency Unions: Implications for Africa," IMF Working Papers 06/31, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Romain Houssa, 2004. "Monetary Union in West Africa and Asymmetric Shocks: A Dynamic Structural Factor Model Approach," Development and Comp Systems 0409063, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  3. F. Bohn, 2003. "Monetary Union and the Interest-Exchange Rate Trade-off," Economics Discussion Papers 554, University of Essex, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY & Samuel GUERINEAU, 2007. "Can domestic debt contribute to the financing of the "Millennium Development Goals" ? The case of the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU)," Working Papers 200720, CERDI. [Downloadable!]
  5. Bamba, Lambert N'galadjo, 2004. "Analyse du Processus de Convergence Dans la Zone UEMOA," Working Papers UNU-WIDER Research Paper , World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  6. Charalambos G. Tsangarides & Mahvash Saeed Qureshi, 2006. "What is Fuzzy About Clustering in West Africa?," IMF Working Papers 06/90, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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