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Convergence in Emerging Europe: Sustainability and Vulnerabilities

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  • Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis

Abstract

The emerging European economies have been converging rapidly towards the more advanced European economies in recent years. However, large external imbalances in parts of the region have raised questions about sustainability and concerns about vulnerabilities. Empirical evidence in this paper suggest that the convergence trend of emerging Europe is based on strong fundamentals and is expected to continue, but at a slower pace. Moreover, the convergence path may be volatile as countries with large external imbalances adjust, with risks of a hard landing in some cases.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2008. "Convergence in Emerging Europe: Sustainability and Vulnerabilities," IMF Working Papers 2008/181, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2008/181
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    2. Mr. Martin Cihak & Mr. Wim Fonteyne, 2009. "Five Years After: European Union Membership and Macro-Financial Stability in the New Member States," IMF Working Papers 2009/068, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Giovanni Capannelli & Jong-Wha Lee & Peter A. Petri, 2010. "Economic Interdependence In Asia: Developing Indicators For Regional Integration And Cooperation," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 55(01), pages 125-161.
    4. Pop, Napoleon & Lupu, Iulia & Milea, Camelia & Iordache, Floarea & Mosneanu, Elena Ana & Ionascu, Silviu & Criste, Adina & Glod, Alina Georgeta, 2010. "Trends In The New Eu Member States Macroeconomic Policies To Adopt The Euro. Performance Of The Romanian Macroeconomic Policies To Adopt The Euro," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 14(1), pages 123-140.
    5. M. D. Valovaya, 2018. "Eurasian Economic Union As A Global Integration Project: Not Only About The Economy," International Trade and Trade Policy, ФГБОУ ВО "Ð Ð¾Ñ Ñ Ð¸Ð¹Ñ ÐºÐ¸Ð¹ Ñ ÐºÐ¾Ð½Ð¾Ð¼Ð¸Ñ‡ÐµÑ ÐºÐ¸Ð¹ ÑƒÐ½Ð¸Ð²ÐµÑ€Ñ Ð¸Ñ‚ÐµÑ‚ им. Г.Ð’. Плеханова", issue 4.
    6. Mirjana Gligoric, 2014. "Paths Of Income Convergence Between Country Pairs Within Europe," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 59(201), pages 123-156, April – J.
    7. Michael I. Magcamit & Alexander C. Tan, 2016. "East and South China Seas Maritime Dispute Resolution and Escalation: Two Sides of the Same Coin?," Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, , vol. 3(2), pages 113-134, August.
    8. Iordache, Floarea IORDACHE & Milea, Camelia & Glod, Alina Georgeta, 2010. "Aspects Of The Exchange Rate Trends In The New Member States Of The European Union," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 14(3), pages 119-132.
    9. Stjepan Zdunic, 2011. "From the impossible monetary trinity towards economic depression," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 29(2), pages 395-422.

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