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Financial Liberalization, Money Demand, and Inflation in Uganda

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  • Mr. Jean-Claude Nachega

Abstract

This paper uses cointegration analysis to investigate the empirical relationship among money, prices, income, and a vector of interest rates in Uganda from 1982 to 1998. Despite the substantial financial market liberalization that has taken place in the early 1990s, quarterly time-series data confirm that a stable relationship prevailed among real broad money, income, and domestic and foreign interest rates. The empirical results indicate income homogeneity, a strong own-rate-of-return effect, a high degree of international capital mobility and asset substitutability, and demonstrate that both domestic and foreign factors are important determinants of inflation in Uganda.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jean-Claude Nachega, 2001. "Financial Liberalization, Money Demand, and Inflation in Uganda," IMF Working Papers 2001/118, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2001/118
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    2. Shigeyuki Hamori, 2008. "Empirical Analysis of the Money Demand Function in Sub-Saharan Africa," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 15(4), pages 1-15.
    3. Jacob Opolot & Anita Mpagi, 2017. "Inflation Dynamics in Uganda: The role of disequilibria in the money and traded goods markets," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 6(1), pages 1-2.
    4. Mr. Andrew Berg & Ms. Filiz D Unsal & Mr. Rafael A Portillo, 2010. "On the Optimal Adherence to Money Targets in a New-Keynesian Framework: An Application to Low-Income Countries," IMF Working Papers 2010/134, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Nabiddo, Winnie, 2007. "The analysis of money demand for Uganda (1986:1-2003:4)," Occasional Papers 54936, Economic Policy Research Centre (EPRC).
    6. Asongu, Simplice A. & Folarin, Oludele E. & Biekpe, Nicholas, 2019. "The long run stability of money demand in the proposed West African monetary union," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 483-495.
    7. Folarin, Oludele E. & Asongu, Simplice A., 2019. "Financial liberalization and long-run stability of money demand in Nigeria," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(5), pages 963-980.
    8. Ms. Catherine A Pattillo & Mr. Stephen A. O'Connell & Mr. Christopher S Adam & Mr. Edward F Buffie, 2004. "Exchange Rate Policy and the Management of Official and Private Capital Flows in Africa," IMF Working Papers 2004/216, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Buffie, Edward & Adam, Christopher & O'Connell, Stephen & Pattillo, Catherine, 2008. "Riding the wave: Monetary responses to aid surges in low-income countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(8), pages 1378-1395, November.
    10. Mr. Emilio Sacerdoti & Mr. Yuan Xiao, 2001. "Inflation Dynamics in Madagascar, 1971-2000," IMF Working Papers 2001/168, International Monetary Fund.
    11. Indranarain Ramlall, 2012. "Broad Money Demand in Mauritius with Implications for Monetary Policy," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 4(8), pages 436-448.
    12. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:15:y:2008:i:4:p:1-15 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Goujon, Michael, 2006. "Fighting inflation in a dollarized economy: The case of Vietnam," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 564-581, September.
    14. Buffie, Edward F. & O'Connell, Stephen A. & Adam, Christopher, 2010. "Fiscal inertia, donor credibility, and the monetary management of aid surges," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(2), pages 287-298, November.
    15. Mame Astou Diouf, 2007. "Modeling Inflation for Mali," IMF Working Papers 2007/295, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Drama, Bedi Guy Herve & Yao, Shen, 2010. "The Demand for Money in Cote d’Ivoire: Evidence from the Cointegration Test," MPRA Paper 20131, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Mr. Jean-Claude Nachega, 2005. "Fiscal Dominance and Inflation in the Democratic Republic of the Congo," IMF Working Papers 2005/221, International Monetary Fund.
    18. John Bosco Nnyanzi, 2018. "The Interaction Effect of Financial Innovation and the Transmission Channels on Money Demand in Uganda," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(12), pages 1-1, December.
    19. Allan Kayongo & Asumani Guloba & Joseph Muvawala, 2020. "Asymmetric Effects of Exchange Rate on Monetary Policy in Emerging Countries: A Non-Linear ARDL Approach in Uganda," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 7(5), pages 24-37, September.

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