Edwin M. Truman () (Institute for International Economics) Anna Wong (Institute for International Economics)
Abstract
Rumors about the actual or potential currency diversification of countries’ foreign exchange holdings out of dollars are not a new phenomenon. This working paper argues that such concerns about reserve diversification are exaggerated. We present evidence that the extent of actual diversification has been modest to date. Nevertheless, the potential for reserve diversification adds volatility to foreign exchange markets and can catalyze abrupt exchange rate movements. We argue that policymakers acting in their own national interests can do something constructive to reduce the volatility introduced into foreign exchange and financial markets by rumors of large-scale international foreign exchange reserve diversification. We propose the voluntary adoption by major foreign exchange reserve holders in particular of an International Reserve Diversification Standard consisting of two elements: (1) routine disclosure of the currency composition of official foreign exchange holdings and (2) a commitment by each adherent to adjust gradually the actual currency composition of its reserves to any new benchmark for those holdings.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
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Philip R. Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2007.
"Europe and global imbalances,"
Economic Policy,
CEPR, CES, MSH, vol. 22, pages 519-573, 07.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Philip R Lane & Jay C Shambaugh, 2007.
"Financial exchange rates and international currency exposures,"
CGFS Papers chapters,
in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Research on global financial stability: the use of BIS international financial statistics, volume 29, pages 90-127
Bank for International Settlements.
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