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Un modelo de consistencia macroeconómica para Costa Rica

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  • Ricardo N. Bebczuk

Abstract

El propósito de este trabajo es diseñar un modelo macroeconómico para Costa Rica a los efectos de utilizarlo en las tareas de análisis llevadas a cabo por el Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID). Con este objetivo en mente, el modelo reúne las cualidades de i) consistencia, ii) valor predictivo, y iii) operatividad y versatilidad. El modelo utiliza como insumo información trimestral y anual para el período 1991-2005, y arroja predicciones anuales para el quinquenio 2006-2010.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department in its series Research Department Publications with number 2015.

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Date of creation: Oct 2008
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Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:2015

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  1. Alberto Alesina & Ricardo Hausmann & Rudolf Hommes & Ernesto Stein, 1996. "Budget Institutions and Fiscal Performance in Latin America," NBER Working Papers 5586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Hakkio, Craig S. & Rush, Mark, 1991. "Cointegration: how short is the long run?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 571-581, December.
  3. Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 2001. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262232197, December.
  4. International Monetary Fund, 1996. "Budget Processes and Commitment to Fiscal Discipline," IMF Working Papers 96/78, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Min Shi & Jakob Svensson, 2003. "Political Budget Cycles: A Review of Recent Developments," Nordic Journal of Political Economy, Nordic Journal of Political Economy, vol. 29, pages 67-76.
  6. Hakkio, Craig S & Rush, Mark, 1991. "Is the Budget Deficit "Too Large?"," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 29(3), pages 429-45, July.
  7. Emmanuel Abuelafia & Sergio Berensztein & Miguel Braun & Luciano di Gresia, 2005. "Who Decides on Public Expenditures? A Political Economy Analysis of the Budget Process: The Case of Argentina," Public Economics 0511004, EconWPA.
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