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Un modelo de consistencia macroeconómica para Costa Rica

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Ricardo N. Bebczuk

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Abstract

El propósito de este trabajo es diseñar un modelo macroeconómico para Costa Rica a los efectos de utilizarlo en las tareas de análisis llevadas a cabo por el Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID). Con este objetivo en mente, el modelo reúne las cualidades de i) consistencia, ii) valor predictivo, y iii) operatividad y versatilidad. El modelo utiliza como insumo información trimestral y anual para el período 1991-2005, y arroja predicciones anuales para el quinquenio 2006-2010.

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Paper provided by Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department in its series RES Working Papers with number 2015.

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Date of creation: Oct 2008
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Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:2015

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  1. Emmanuel Abuelafia & Sergio Berensztein & Miguel Braun & Luciano di Gresia, 2005. "Who Decides on Public Expenditures? A Political Economy Analysis of the Budget Process: The Case of Argentina," Public Economics 0511004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hakkio, Craig S & Rush, Mark, 1991. "Is the Budget Deficit "Too Large?"," Economic Inquiry, Oxford University Press, vol. 29(3), pages 429-45, July.
  3. Min Shi & Jakob Svensson, 2003. "Political Budget Cycles: A Review of Recent Developments," Nordic Journal of Political Economy, Nordic Journal of Political Economy, vol. 29, pages 67-76. [Downloadable!]
  4. Hakkio, Craig S. & Rush, Mark, 1991. "Cointegration: how short is the long run?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 571-581, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. von Hagen, Jurgen & Harden, Ian J., 1995. "Budget processes and commitment to fiscal discipline," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 39(3-4), pages 771-779, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Alberto Alesina & Ricardo Hausmann & Rudolf Hommes & Ernesto Stein, 1996. "Budget Institutions and Fiscal Performance in Latin America," NBER Working Papers 5586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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