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Das Scheitern junger Betriebe : ein Überlebensdauermodell auf Basis des IAB-Betriebspanels

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Author Info

  • Falck, Oliver

Abstract

"In dem Beitrag werden die Auswirkungen sektoraler, regionaler sowie betrieblicher Determinanten auf das Scheitern junger Betriebe mit Hilfe eines ökonometrischen Überlebensdauer-Ansatzes analysiert. Dabei findet ein accelerated failure time model mit zugrunde liegender log-logistischer Verteilung Anwendung. Datengrundlage bildet das IAB-Betriebspanel, eine repräsentative Betriebsbefragung des Instituts für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB). In die Analyse gehen junge Betriebe im privaten Sektor (westdeutsche Bundesländer, Zeitraum 1993-2002) ein. Die Schließungswahrscheinlichkeit junger Betriebe ist in Sektoren mit hoher mindestoptimaler Betriebsgröße und einer hohen Anzahl von Gründungen überdurchschnittlich hoch. Darüber hinaus spielen regionale Faktoren eine zentrale Rolle. Auf betrieblicher Ebene ist die Betriebsgröße der beste Prädiktor für die Schließungswahrscheinlichkeit." (Autorenreferat, IAB-Doku)

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany] in its series IAB-Forschungsbericht with number 200513.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 16 Mar 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iab:iabfob:200513

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Keywords: Betriebsstilllegung - Determinanten; Unternehmensgründung - Erfolgskontrolle; IAB-Betriebspanel; regionale Faktoren; Betriebsgröße; Westdeutschland; Bundesrepublik Deutschland;

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  1. Michael Fritsch & Oliver Falck & Udo Brixy, 2004. "The Effect of Industry, Region and Time on New Business Survival - A Multi-Dimensional Analysis," Papers on Entrepreneurship, Growth and Public Policy 2004-31, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Entrepreneurship, Growth and Public Policy Group.
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Cited by:
  1. Anne Otto & Dirk Fornahl, 2009. "Cohesion Policy:Methodology And Indicators Towards Common Approach," Romanian Journal of Regional Science, Romanian Regional Science Association, vol. 3(1), pages 1-35, JUNE.

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