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Welfare Analysis Incorporating a Structural Entry-Exit Model: A Case Study of Medicare HMOs Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Shiko Maruyama
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Should the government subsidize entry to promote competition? In theory, free entry does not guarantee the socially optimum number of entrants. In differentiated product markets, free entry can result either in excessive or insufficient entry. In this paper I propose an empirical framework to address this issue with a case study of the Medicare HMO market for 2003 and 2004. I perform counterfactual welfare simulations with different entry conditions and with different government payment rates to HMOs. The results indicate that uniformly raising the payment rate lowers national welfare, which supports the government's efforts to contain the payment rate in my sample years. A comparison of the cases with and without entry and/or market power indicates that this welfare loss does not come from additional entry, but instead the oligopolistic market structure and market distortion from the payment rate subsidy. The number of entrants is likely to be insufficient.
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Paper provided by Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University in its series Hi-Stat Discussion Paper Series with number
d06-166.
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Date of creation: Jun 2006Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hst:hstdps:d06-166Contact details of provider: Postal: 2-1 Naka, Kunitachi City, Tokyo 186 Phone: +81-42-580-8327 Fax: +81-42-580-8333 Email: Web page: http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/ More information through EDIRC
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Shiko Maruyama, 2009.
"Estimating Sequential-move Games by a Recursive Conditioning Simulator ,"
Discussion Papers
2009-01, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
[Downloadable!]
Shiko Maruyama, 2008.
"Measuring the Welfare Effect of Entry in Differentiated Product Markets: The Case of Medicare HMOs ,"
Discussion Papers
2008-01, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
[Downloadable!]
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