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An Econometric Study of Private Consumption Expenditure in Sweden

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  • Johnsson, Helena

    (National Institute of Economic Research)

  • Kaplan, Peter

    (National Institute of Economic Research)

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    Abstract

    A Consumption function based on the life-cycle hypothesis is estimated using Swedish anuual data for the period 1970-1998. Hendry`s general to specific approach is applied using an error correction model in order to arrive at the preferred equation. In order to confirm the estimated cointegrating relationship, the Johansen procedure is employed. The preferred equation displays a good fit over the sample period and diagnostic tests indicate that the parameters are robust over time. The long run properties and the dynamic response to shocks in the exogenous variable are evaluated using a system of simultaneous equations containing the preferred eauation and a disaggregated form of the savings identity. Results from the simulations are in accordance with intuition and consistent with the life-cycle hypothesis.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by National Institute of Economic Research in its series Working Paper with number 70.

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    Length: 42 pages
    Date of creation: 01 Dec 1999
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:hhs:nierwp:0070

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    Postal: National Institute of Economic Research, P.O. Box 3116, SE-103 62 Stockholm, Sweden
    Phone: 46-(0)8-453 59 00
    Fax: 46-(0)8-453 59 80
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    Web page: http://www.konj.se/
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    1. Peter Kennedy, 2003. "A Guide to Econometrics, 5th Edition," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 5, volume 1, number 026261183x, December.
    2. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    3. Farebrother, R W, 1980. "The Durbin-Watson Test for Serial Correlation When There Is No Intercept in the Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(6), pages 1553-63, September.
    4. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June.
    5. Godfrey, Leslie G, 1978. "Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1303-10, November.
    6. Berg, Lennart & Bergstrom, Reinhold, 1995. " Housing and Financial Wealth, Financial Deregulation and Consumption--The Swedish Case," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 97(3), pages 421-39, September.
    7. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1, May.
    8. Banerjee, Anindya, et al, 1986. "Exploring Equilibrium Relationships in Econometrics through Static Models: Some Monte Carlo Evidence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 253-77, August.
    9. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March.
    10. Davidson, James E H, et al, 1978. "Econometric Modelling of the Aggregate Time-Series Relationship between Consumers' Expenditure and Income in the United Kingdom," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 88(352), pages 661-92, December.
    11. Lyhagen, Johan, 1997. "The Effect of Precautionary Saving on Consumption in Sweden," Working Paper 58, National Institute of Economic Research.
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