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The Effect of Precautionary Saving on Consumption in Sweden

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  • Lyhagen, Johan

    (National Institute of Economic Research)

Abstract

Uncertainty concerning future income lowers consumption. This is often called the precautionary demand for savings. In this paper the existence of precautionary saving is investigated using Swedish data for the years 1973-1992. As there are no variables for consumers' uncertainty we use proxies. Assuming different underlying distributions of attitudinal data we have a set of variance series. Including the proxies in different specifications of the consumption function, indication of precautionary saving can be found. No uncertainty would raise consumption by 4.9%.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by National Institute of Economic Research in its series Working Paper with number 58.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 01 Dec 1997
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:nierwp:0058

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Related research

Keywords: Precautionary saving; consumption; uncertainty; econometric modelling; cointegration.;

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Cited by:
  1. Chen, Jie, 2006. "Re-evaluating the association between housing wealth and aggregate consumption: New evidence from Sweden," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 321-348, December.
  2. Mario Menegatti, 2007. "Consumption and uncertainty: a panel analysis in Italian Regions," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 39-42.
  3. Roberto Bande & Dolores Riveiro, 2012. "Private Saving Rates and Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Spanish Regional Data," Documentos de trabajo - IRENe 0004, IDEGA - Instituto Universitario de Estudios e Desenvolvemento de Galicia.
  4. Myung Hoon Yi & Changkyu Choi, 2006. "A GMM test of the precautionary saving hypothesis with nonexpected-utility preferences," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 71-78.
  5. Phang, Sock-Yong, 2004. "House prices and aggregate consumption: do they move together? Evidence from Singapore," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 101-119, June.
  6. David Bywaters & D. Thomas, 2006. "Consumption, Wealth, and Indebtedness in the Context of Uncertainty: The Consumption Function Meets Portfolio Theory," International Advances in Economic Research, Springer, vol. 12(3), pages 298-307, August.
  7. Kjellberg, David & Post, Erik, 2007. "A Critical Look at Measures of Macroeconomic Uncertainty," Working Paper Series 2007:14, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  8. Johnsson, Helena & Kaplan, Peter, 1999. "An Econometric Study of Private Consumption Expenditure in Sweden," Working Paper 70, National Institute of Economic Research.
  9. Alessandro Federici & Pierluigi Montalbano, 2012. "Macroeconomic volatility, consumption behaviour and welfare: A cross-country analysis," Working Paper Series 3612, Department of Economics, University of Sussex.

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