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The Swedish ICT Miracle - Myth or Reality

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Author Info
Edquist, Harald () (Dept. of Economics, Stockholm School of Economics)

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Abstract

This paper investigates the relative labor productivity level for total manufacturing in Germany, Sweden and the US for the period 1980–2001. The paper also presents estimates of labor productivity levels for 18 different manufacturing industries for the period 1993–2000. The results show that the Swedish manufacturing productivity caught up with German and US productivity in the 1990s, overtaking the German level in 1995 and coming very close to the US level by the end of the 1990s. It has been argued that much of the Swedish surge in labor productivity during the second half of the 1990s was due to the spectacular growth of the Radio, television and communication equipment (RTC) (ISIC 32) industry. However, this paper shows that since 1998 Swedish RTC productivity has been declining relative to the corresponding industry in Germany and the US. Moreover, it is shown that the productivity growth of the ICT-producing industries is very sensitive to the value added price deflators used to calculate real value added growth rates. It is also shown that intermediate input prices have a large impact on the measured real value added growth for the Swedish Radio, television and communication equipment industry. It is argued that the accuracy of the price statistics for intermediate inputs is very uncertain for the Swedish Radio, television and communication equipment industry. Therefore estimates based on the US intermediate input price deflators suggest that the productivity growth of the Swedish Radio, television and communication equipment industry during the 1990s is partly a statistical artefact. This implies that the productivity growth of total manufacturing also has been overestimated.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Stockholm School of Economics in its series Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance with number 556.

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Length: 49 pages
Date of creation: 17 Feb 2004
Date of revision: 29 Mar 2004
Handle: RePEc:hhs:hastef:0556

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Related research
Keywords: Information and communication technology (ICT); Productivity; Technological change; Value added deflators;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O10 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
O30 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - General
O47 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
O57 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Stefano Scarpetta & Andrea Bassanini & Dirk Pilat & Paul Schreyer, 2000. "Economic Growth in the OECD Area: Recent Trends at the Aggregate and Sectoral Level," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 248, OECD, Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. Edquist, Harald & Henrekson, Magnus, 2002. "Kommer IKT-revolutionen även att lyfta Europas ekonomier?," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 497, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  3. van Ark, Bart, 1998. "Productivity," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 171-174, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Paul Schreyer, 2001. "The OECD Productivity Manual: A Guide to the Measurement of Industry-Level and Aggregate Productivity," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 2, pages 37-51, Spring. [Downloadable!]
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Edquist, Harald, 2005. "Do hedonic price indexes change history? The case of electrification," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 586, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 28 Feb 2005. [Downloadable!]
  2. Gabriel Moser & Wolfgang Pointner & Gerhard Reitschuler, 2004. "Economic Growth in Denmark, Sweden and the United Kingdom since the Start of Monetary Union," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 53-66, December. [Downloadable!]
  3. Henrekson, Magnus & Edquist, Harald, 2006. "Technological Breakthroughs and Productivity Growth," Working Paper Series 665, Research Institute of Industrial Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Edquist, Harald, 2008. "Does Hedonic Price Indexing Change Our Interpretation of Economic History? Evidence from Swedish Electrification," Working Paper Series 742, Research Institute of Industrial Economics, revised 03 Sep 2009. [Downloadable!]
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