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An assessment of present and future competitiveness of electric commercial vans

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  • Pierre Camilleri

    (IFSTTAR/AME/SPLOTT - Systèmes Productifs, Logistique, Organisation des Transports et Travail - IFSTTAR - Institut Français des Sciences et Technologies des Transports, de l'Aménagement et des Réseaux - Communauté Université Paris-Est)

  • Laetitia Dablanc

    (IFSTTAR/AME/SPLOTT - Systèmes Productifs, Logistique, Organisation des Transports et Travail - IFSTTAR - Institut Français des Sciences et Technologies des Transports, de l'Aménagement et des Réseaux - Communauté Université Paris-Est)

Abstract

As electric vehicles appear as a potential solution for cleaner deliveries, several constraints affect the attractiveness of electric light commercial vehicles (eLCVs). Our research aims at identifying these constraints as well as quantifying their respective weight. We investigate two types of constraints: operational and economic. Operational constraints determine if an electric vehicle is suitable for a given use; for example, the limited range of operation due to the necessity to recharge the battery. Economic performance, which we examine through Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) computations for electric and conventional vehicles, sheds light upon the trade-offs faced by business users when they have to choose between several technologies. We then present the results of a disaggregated constraints analysis made on a French database about light commercial vehicles, which assesses the proportion of vehicles that could be replaced by electric ones, and at what costs. This study shows that, today, eLCVs are competitive for some specific uses, but do not cover the needs of every freight transport operator. Our analysis also shows that even if fuel prices remain low and financial incentives decline, the competitiveness of electric vehicles could grow in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre Camilleri & Laetitia Dablanc, 2017. "An assessment of present and future competitiveness of electric commercial vans," Post-Print hal-01539105, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01539105
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-01539105
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Björn Nykvist & Måns Nilsson, 2015. "Rapidly falling costs of battery packs for electric vehicles," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(4), pages 329-332, April.
    2. Nesbitt, Kevin & Sperling, Daniel, 1998. "Myths Regarding Alternative Fuel Vehicle Demand by Light-Duty Vehicle Fleets," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt0q6053j9, University of California Transportation Center.
    3. Philippe Brunel & Thierry Perillo, 1992. "La voiture propre," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 258(1), pages 89-94.
    4. Crane, Soheila Soltani, 1996. "An Empirical Study of Alternative Fuel Vehicle Choice by Commercial Fleets: Lessons in Transportation Choices, and Public Agencies' Organization," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt8pt2j499, University of California Transportation Center.
    5. Nesbitt, Kevin & Sperling, Daniel, 1998. "Myths Regarding Alternative Fuel Vehicle Demand by Light-Duty Vehicle Fleets," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt07c9h9cd, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    6. Davis, Brian A. & Figliozzi, Miguel A., 2013. "A methodology to evaluate the competitiveness of electric delivery trucks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 8-23.
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    Cited by:

    1. Scorrano, Mariangela & Danielis, Romeo & Giansoldati, Marco, 2021. "Electric light commercial vehicles for a cleaner urban goods distribution. Are they cost competitive?," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

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    Keywords

    TOTAL COST OF OWNERSHIP - TCO; VEHICULE ELECTRIQUE; VEHICULE UTILITAIRE LEGER - VUL; ANALYSE DES CONTRAINTES; COUT; CALCUL ECONOMIQUE;
    All these keywords.

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