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Estimating the Returns to Insider Trading

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Author Info
Leslie A. Jeng
Andrew Metrick
Richard Zeckhauser

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Abstract

This paper estimates the returns to insiders when they trade their company’s stock. We first construct a rolling "purchase portfolio" that holds all shares purchased by insiders for a six-month period, and an analogous "sale portfolio" that holds all shares sold by insiders for six months. The six-month horizon is chosen to coincide with the "short-swing" rule of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934; a rule that prohibits profit-taking by insiders for offsetting trades within six months. We then employ performance-evaluation methods to analyze the returns to the purchase and sale portfolios. This approach yields a proxy for the value-weighted returns to insider transactions beginning on the day after their execution and avoids the statistical difficulties that plague event studies on long-horizon returns.

Our methods are designed to estimate the returns earned by insiders themselves and thereby differ from the previous insider-trading literature, which focuses on the "informativeness" of insider trades for other investors. Using a comprehensive sample of reported insider transactions from 1975-1996, we find that the purchase portfolio earns abnormal returns of more than 50 basis points per month. About one-quarter of these abnormal returns accrue within the first five days after the initial transaction, and one-half accrue within the first month. The sale portfolio does not earn abnormal returns. Our portfolio-based approach also allows for straightforward decompositions of performance by various characteristics; we find that the abnormal returns to insider trades in small firms are not significantly different from those in large firms, and that top executives do not earn higher abnormal returns than do other insiders.

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Paper provided by Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research in its series Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers with number 19-99.

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Handle: RePEc:fth:pennfi:19-99

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. " On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  3. Seyhun, H Nejat, 1992. "Why Does Aggregate Insider Trading Predict Future Stock Returns?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(4), pages 1303-31, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  11. Loughran, Tim & Ritter, Jay R, 1995. " The New Issues Puzzle," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 23-51, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Rozeff, Michael S & Zaman, Mir A, 1988. "Market Efficiency and Insider Trading: New Evidence," Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 61(1), pages 25-44, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  27. Sugato Chakravarty & John J. McConnell, 1997. "An Analysis of Prices, Bid/Ask Spreads, and Bid and Ask Depths Surrounding Ivan Boesky's Illegal Trading in Carnation's Stock," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 26(2), Summer.
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(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Kyri Kyriacou & Bryan Mase, 2004. "Executive Stock Option Exercises and the Predictive Ability of Transaction Value," Public Policy Discussion Papers 04-09, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
  2. Kyri Kyriacou & Bryan Mase, 2004. "Executive Stock Option Exercises and the Predictive Ability of Transaction Value," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 04-09, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
  3. Kyriacou, Kyriacos & Luintel, Kul B & Mase, Bryan, 2008. "Private Information in Executives' Option Trades: Evidence from the UK," Cardiff Economics Working Papers E2008/4, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section. [Downloadable!]
  4. Del Brio, Esther & Elías Tobar, José, 2005. "Rentabilidad a Corto Plazo de los Insiders en los Mercados Español y Británico," Documentos de Trabajo "Nuevas Tendencias en Dirección de Empresas". Working Papers "New Trends on Business Administration". 2005-10, Interuniversitary Doctorate Program "New Trends on Business Administration", Universities of Valladolid, Burgos and Salamanca (Spain). Programa de Doctorado Interuniversitario "Nuevas Tendencias en Di. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kyriacos Kyriacou & Bryan Mase, 2003. "The Information Contained In The Exercise Of Executive Stock Options," Economics and Finance Discussion Papers 03-17, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
  6. Dlugos, Jennifer & Fahlenbrach, Rudiger & Gompers, Paul & Metrick, Andrew, 2005. "Large Blocks of Stock: Prevalence, Size, and Measurement," Working Paper Series 2005-9, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Enrichetta Ravina & Paola Sapienza, 2006. "What Do Independent Directors Know? Evidence from Their Trading," NBER Working Papers 12765, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  8. Kyriacos Kyriacou & Bryan Mase, 2003. "The Information Contained In The Exercise Of Executive Stock Options," Public Policy Discussion Papers 03-17, Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University. [Downloadable!]
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