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On bounding credit event risk premia

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  • Jennie Bai
  • Pierre Collin-Dufresne
  • Robert S. Goldstein
  • Jean Helwege
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    Abstract

    Reduced-form models of default that attribute a large fraction of credit spreads to compensation for credit event risk typically preclude the most plausible economic justification for such risk to be priced--namely, a “contagious” response of the market portfolio during the credit event. When this channel is introduced within a general equilibrium framework for an economy comprised of a large number of firms, credit event risk premia have an upper bound of just a few basis points and are dwarfed by the contagion premium. We provide empirical evidence supporting the view that credit event risk premia are minuscule.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its series Staff Reports with number 577.

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    Date of creation: 2012
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    Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:577

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    Keywords: Default (Finance) ; Credit ; Risk ; Financial crises;

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    References

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    Cited by:
    1. Gorea, Denis & Radev, Deyan, 2014. "The euro area sovereign debt crisis: Can contagion spread from the periphery to the core?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 78-100.

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