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An Econometric Model of the Term Structure of Interest-Rate Swap Yields

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  • Duffie, Darrell
  • Singleton, Kenneth J
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    Abstract

    This article develops a multi-factor econometric model of the term structure of interest-rate swap yields. The model accommodates the possibility of counterparty default, and any differences in the liquidities of the Treasury and Swap markets. By parameterizing a model of swap rates directly, the authors are able to compute model-based estimates of the defaultable zero-coupon bond rates implicit in the swap market without having to specify a priori the dependence of these rates on default hazard or recovery rates. The time series analysis of spreads between zero-coupon swap and treasury yields reveals that both credit and liquidity factors were important sources of variation in swap spreads over the past decade. Copyright 1997 by American Finance Association.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

    Volume (Year): 52 (1997)
    Issue (Month): 4 (September)
    Pages: 1287-1321
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    Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:52:y:1997:i:4:p:1287-1321

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