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Credit spreads and interest rates : a cointegration approach Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Charles S. Morris
Robert Neal
Douglas Rolph
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This paper uses cointegration to model the time-series of corporate and government bond rates. We show that corporate rates are cointegrated with government rates and the relation between credit spreads and Treasury rates depends on the time horizon. In the short-run, an increase in Treasury rates causes credit spreads to narrow. This effect is reversed over the long-run and higher rates cause spreads to widen. The positive long-run relation between spreads and Treasuries is inconsistent with prominent models for pricing corporate bonds, analyzing capital structure, and measuring the interest rate sensitivity of corporate bonds.
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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in its series Research Working Paper with number
98-08.
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Date of creation: 1998Date of revision:
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Keywords: Credit Interest rates This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports :
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Alicia García-Herrero & Álvaro Ortiz, 2005.
"The role of global risk aversion in explaining Latin American sovereign spreads ,"
Banco de España Working Papers
0505, Banco de España.
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Ericsson, Jan & Reneby, Joel, 2003.
"Valuing Corporate Liabilities ,"
SIFR Research Report Series
15, Swedish Institute for Financial Research.
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Alejandro Revéiz Hérault, 2002.
"Factores determinantes de los márgenes entre bonos del gobierno y bonos corporativos en los Estados Unidos ,"
LECTURAS EN FINANZAS
002710, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
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Other versions: Alejandro Reveiz Herault, .
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Borradores de Economia
511, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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Other versions: Alicia Garcia Herrero & Alvaro Ortiz, 2004.
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International Finance
0408001, EconWPA.
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