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Inflation targeting and nominal income growth targeting: when and why are they suboptimal?

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Author Info
Jinill Kim
Dale W. Henderson

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Abstract

We derive optimal monetary stabilization rules and compare them to simple rules under both full and partial information. The nominal interest rate is the instrument of monetary policy. Special attention is devoted to inflation targeting and nominal-income-growth targeting.> We use an optimizing-agent model of a closed economy which features monopolistic competition in both product and labor markets. A stabilization problem exists because there are one-period nominal contracts, either for wages alone or for both wages and prices, and three shocks that are unknown when contracts are signed. In order to highlight basic theoretical results, we deliberately keep our model simple enough that we can obtain exact solutions. Optimal rules maximize the expected utility of the representative agent subject to the information set of the policymaker. A key result, possibly surprising at first, is that even with monopolistic competition, the optimal full information policy makes the economy mimic the hypothetical equilibrium with flexible prices and wages. We explain why strict versions of inflation targeting, nominal income growth targeting, and other such simple rules are suboptimal under both full and partial information and derive flexible versions that are optimal under certain partial information assumptions. Nominal income growth targeting dominates inflation targeting for plausible parameter values.

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Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series International Finance Discussion Papers with number 719.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgif:719

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Related research
Keywords: Monetary policy ; Econometric models;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Lee E. Ohanian & Alan C. Stockman & Lutz Killian, 1994. "The effects of real and monetary shocks in a business cycle model with some sticky prices," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, pages 1209-1240.
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  2. Marvin Goodfriend & Robert G. King, 1998. "The new neoclassical synthesis and the role of monetary policy," Working Paper 98-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. [Downloadable!]
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  1. Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2004. "Optimal taxation in an RBC model: A linear-quadratic approach," Discussion Papers 0405-16, Columbia University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Henry Kim & Jinill Kim, 2005. "Welfare Effects of Tax Policy in Open Economies: Stabilization and Cooperation," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0503, Department of Economics, Tufts University. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Ray C. Fair, 2006. "Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a Macroeconometric Model," Levine's Bibliography 321307000000000303, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Nunes, Ricardo, 2008. "Delegation and Loose Commitment," MPRA Paper 11555, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pierpaolo Benigno & Michael Woodford, 2005. "Optimal stabilization policy when wages and prices are sticky: the case of a distorted steady state," Proceedings, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.), pages 127-180. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Jinill Kim & Sunghyun Henry Kim, 2007. "Two pitfalls of linearization methods," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2007-64, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  7. Collard, Fabrice & Dellas, Harris, 2003. "Poole in the New Keynesian Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 4083, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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