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Deliverability and regional pricing in U.S. natural gas markets

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Author Info
Stephen P.A. Brown
Mine K. Yucel
Abstract

During the 1980s and early '90s, interstate natural gas markets in the United States made a transition away from the regulation that characterized the previous three decades. With abundant supplies and plentiful pipeline capacity, a new order emerged in which freer markets and arbitrage closely linked natural gas price movements throughout the country. After the mid-1990s, however, U.S. natural gas markets tightened and some pipelines were pushed to capacity. We look for the pricing effects of limited arbitrage through causality testing between prices at nodes on the U.S. natural gas transportation system and interchange prices at regional nodes on North American electricity grids. Our tests do reveal limited arbitrage, which is indicative of bottlenecks in the U.S. natural gas pipeline system.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas in its series Working Papers with number 0802.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:fip:feddwp:0802

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Keywords: Natural gas Arbitrage Pricing

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  1. Serletis, Apostolos & Herbert, John, 1999. "The message in North American energy prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 471-483, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Stephen P. A. Brown & Mine K. Yücel, 2007. "What drives natural gas prices?," Working Papers 0703, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. [Downloadable!]
  3. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Engle, Robert F. & Yoo, Byung Sam, 1987. "Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 143-159, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Marmer, Vadim & Shapiro, Dmitry & MacAvoy, Paul, 2007. "Bottlenecks in regional markets for natural gas transmission services," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 37-45, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2008-7-16.


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