IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fem/femwpa/2023.02.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Does P2P Trading Favor Investments in PV-Battery Systems?

Author

Listed:
  • Francesca Andreolli

    (ECCO Climate Think Tank)

  • Chiara D'Alpaos

    (Department of Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, University of Padova)

  • Peter Kort

    (Department of Econometrics and Operations Research, Tilburg University)

Abstract

Due to the deployment of distributed renewable energy sources (e.g., solar), the introduction of communication technologies, and the digitalization of the power system (e.g., smart meters, control devices), energy consumers are switching from passive to active in the management of their energy consumption, production, and storage patterns. In a consumer-centric energy market, Peer-to-Peer (P2P) trading allows consumers and prosumers to directly trade energy without any intermediation by traditional energy suppliers. In this paper, we investigate households’ decisions to invest in domestic PV plants coupled with battery storage, namely PV battery systems (PVBs), and to participate in a local energy community (EC), in which energy quotas can be exchanged among EC members via P2P trading. Thanks to storage and P2P, households can strategically decide their optimal course of action and their optimal energy production/consumption patterns and can actively offer services that other EC participants bid for. In detail, we examine whether P2P trading can increase the value of investments in PVBs and affect the decision on both the optimal investment timing and size. Following the real options approach, we develop a stochastic optimization model. Our results show that ceteris paribus, thanks to P2P trading opportunities, households accelerate investments and invest in larger plants compared to scenarios in which P2P trading in not permitted. According to our findings, at current market prices, it is never optimal to invest immediately and, as P2P traded energy increases, households invest earlier and in smaller plants.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Andreolli & Chiara D'Alpaos & Peter Kort, 2023. "Does P2P Trading Favor Investments in PV-Battery Systems?," Working Papers 2023.02, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    • Handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2023.02
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://feem-media.s3.eu-central-1.amazonaws.com/wp-content/uploads/NDL2023-002-1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rodrigues, Daniel L. & Ye, Xianming & Xia, Xiaohua & Zhu, Bing, 2020. "Battery energy storage sizing optimisation for different ownership structures in a peer-to-peer energy sharing community," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    2. Bertolini, Marina & D'Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2018. "Do Smart Grids boost investments in domestic PV plants? Evidence from the Italian electricity market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 890-902.
    3. Castellini, Marta & Menoncin, Francesco & Moretto, Michele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2021. "Photovoltaic Smart Grids in the prosumers investment decisions: a real option model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    4. Ciabattoni, Lucio & Grisostomi, Massimo & Ippoliti, Gianluca & Longhi, Sauro, 2014. "Fuzzy logic home energy consumption modeling for residential photovoltaic plant sizing in the new Italian scenario," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 359-367.
    5. Castellini, Marta & Di Corato, Luca & Moretto, Michele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2021. "Energy exchange among heterogeneous prosumers under price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    6. Azim, M. Imran & Tushar, Wayes & Saha, Tapan K., 2020. "Investigating the impact of P2P trading on power losses in grid-connected networks with prosumers," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    7. Wu, Ying & Wu, Yanpeng & Cimen, Halil & Vasquez, Juan C. & Guerrero, Josep M., 2022. "Towards collective energy Community: Potential roles of microgrid and blockchain to go beyond P2P energy trading," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    8. Biondi, Tommaso & Moretto, Michele, 2015. "Solar Grid Parity dynamics in Italy: A real option approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 293-302.
    9. O. Schmidt & A. Hawkes & A. Gambhir & I. Staffell, 2017. "The future cost of electrical energy storage based on experience rates," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 1-8, August.
    10. Simona Bigerna, Carlo Andrea Bollino and Paolo Polinori, 2016. "Renewable Energy and Market Power in the Italian Electricity Market," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Bollino-M).
    11. Colmenar-Santos, Antonio & Campíñez-Romero, Severo & Pérez-Molina, Clara & Castro-Gil, Manuel, 2012. "Profitability analysis of grid-connected photovoltaic facilities for household electricity self-sufficiency," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 749-764.
    12. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    13. Karami, Mahdi & Madlener, Reinhard, 2022. "Business models for peer-to-peer energy trading in Germany based on households’ beliefs and preferences," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PB).
    14. Eva González-Romera & Mercedes Ruiz-Cortés & María-Isabel Milanés-Montero & Fermín Barrero-González & Enrique Romero-Cadaval & Rui Amaral Lopes & João Martins, 2019. "Advantages of Minimizing Energy Exchange Instead of Energy Cost in Prosumer Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-18, February.
    15. Moshövel, Janina & Kairies, Kai-Philipp & Magnor, Dirk & Leuthold, Matthias & Bost, Mark & Gährs, Swantje & Szczechowicz, Eva & Cramer, Moritz & Sauer, Dirk Uwe, 2015. "Analysis of the maximal possible grid relief from PV-peak-power impacts by using storage systems for increased self-consumption," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 567-575.
    16. Johannes Radl & Andreas Fleischhacker & Frida Huglen Revheim & Georg Lettner & Hans Auer, 2020. "Comparison of Profitability of PV Electricity Sharing in Renewable Energy Communities in Selected European Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-24, September.
    17. Dato, Prudence & Durmaz, Tunç & Pommeret, Aude, 2020. "Smart grids and renewable electricity generation by households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    18. Schopfer, S. & Tiefenbeck, V. & Staake, T., 2018. "Economic assessment of photovoltaic battery systems based on household load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 229-248.
    19. Sousa, Tiago & Soares, Tiago & Pinson, Pierre & Moret, Fabio & Baroche, Thomas & Sorin, Etienne, 2019. "Peer-to-peer and community-based markets: A comprehensive review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 367-378.
    20. Thomas Morstyn & Niall Farrell & Sarah J. Darby & Malcolm D. McCulloch, 2018. "Using peer-to-peer energy-trading platforms to incentivize prosumers to form federated power plants," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 3(2), pages 94-101, February.
    21. Nguyen, Su & Peng, Wei & Sokolowski, Peter & Alahakoon, Damminda & Yu, Xinghuo, 2018. "Optimizing rooftop photovoltaic distributed generation with battery storage for peer-to-peer energy trading," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2567-2580.
    22. Federica Cucchiella & Idiano D’Adamo & Massimo Gastaldi, 2017. "The Economic Feasibility of Residential Energy Storage Combined with PV Panels: The Role of Subsidies in Italy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-18, September.
    23. Lüth, Alexandra & Zepter, Jan Martin & Crespo del Granado, Pedro & Egging, Ruud, 2018. "Local electricity market designs for peer-to-peer trading: The role of battery flexibility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C), pages 1233-1243.
    24. Zhang, Chenghua & Wu, Jianzhong & Zhou, Yue & Cheng, Meng & Long, Chao, 2018. "Peer-to-Peer energy trading in a Microgrid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 1-12.
    25. Cambini, Carlo & Meletiou, Alexis & Bompard, Ettore & Masera, Marcelo, 2016. "Market and regulatory factors influencing smart-grid investment in Europe: Evidence from pilot projects and implications for reform," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 36-47.
    26. Yael Parag & Benjamin K. Sovacool, 2016. "Electricity market design for the prosumer era," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 1(4), pages 1-6, April.
    27. Andreolli, Francesca & D’Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2022. "Valuing investments in domestic PV-Battery Systems under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    28. Sani Hassan, Abubakar & Cipcigan, Liana & Jenkins, Nick, 2017. "Optimal battery storage operation for PV systems with tariff incentives," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 422-441.
    29. Uddin, Kotub & Gough, Rebecca & Radcliffe, Jonathan & Marco, James & Jennings, Paul, 2017. "Techno-economic analysis of the viability of residential photovoltaic systems using lithium-ion batteries for energy storage in the United Kingdom," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 12-21.
    30. Few, Sheridan & Schmidt, Oliver & Offer, Gregory J. & Brandon, Nigel & Nelson, Jenny & Gambhir, Ajay, 2018. "Prospective improvements in cost and cycle life of off-grid lithium-ion battery packs: An analysis informed by expert elicitations," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 578-590.
    31. Long, Chao & Wu, Jianzhong & Zhou, Yue & Jenkins, Nick, 2018. "Peer-to-peer energy sharing through a two-stage aggregated battery control in a community Microgrid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 261-276.
    32. Gui, Emi Minghui & Diesendorf, Mark & MacGill, Iain, 2017. "Distributed energy infrastructure paradigm: Community microgrids in a new institutional economics context," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 1355-1365.
    33. Luthander, Rasmus & Widén, Joakim & Nilsson, Daniel & Palm, Jenny, 2015. "Photovoltaic self-consumption in buildings: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 80-94.
    34. Roberts, Mike B. & Bruce, Anna & MacGill, Iain, 2019. "Impact of shared battery energy storage systems on photovoltaic self-consumption and electricity bills in apartment buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 245(C), pages 78-95.
    35. Stephen Comello & Stefan Reichelstein, 2019. "The emergence of cost effective battery storage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-9, December.
    36. Linssen, Jochen & Stenzel, Peter & Fleer, Johannes, 2017. "Techno-economic analysis of photovoltaic battery systems and the influence of different consumer load profiles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 2019-2025.
    37. Quoilin, Sylvain & Kavvadias, Konstantinos & Mercier, Arnaud & Pappone, Irene & Zucker, Andreas, 2016. "Quantifying self-consumption linked to solar home battery systems: Statistical analysis and economic assessment," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 58-67.
    38. An, Jongbaek & Lee, Minhyun & Yeom, Seungkeun & Hong, Taehoon, 2020. "Determining the Peer-to-Peer electricity trading price and strategy for energy prosumers and consumers within a microgrid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andreolli, Francesca & D'Alpaos, Chiara & Kort, Peter, 2023. "Does P2P Trading Favor Investments in PV-Battery Systems?," FEEM Working Papers 330498, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    2. Andreolli, Francesca & D’Alpaos, Chiara & Moretto, Michele, 2022. "Valuing investments in domestic PV-Battery Systems under uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    3. Castellini, Marta & Di Corato, Luca & Moretto, Michele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2021. "Energy exchange among heterogeneous prosumers under price uncertainty," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    4. Castellini, Marta & Menoncin, Francesco & Moretto, Michele & Vergalli, Sergio, 2021. "Photovoltaic Smart Grids in the prosumers investment decisions: a real option model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    5. Tushar, Wayes & Yuen, Chau & Saha, Tapan K. & Morstyn, Thomas & Chapman, Archie C. & Alam, M. Jan E. & Hanif, Sarmad & Poor, H. Vincent, 2021. "Peer-to-peer energy systems for connected communities: A review of recent advances and emerging challenges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).
    6. Milad Afzalan & Farrokh Jazizadeh, 2021. "Quantification of Demand-Supply Balancing Capacity among Prosumers and Consumers: Community Self-Sufficiency Assessment for Energy Trading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
    7. Zhou, Yuekuan & Lund, Peter D., 2023. "Peer-to-peer energy sharing and trading of renewable energy in smart communities ─ trading pricing models, decision-making and agent-based collaboration," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 207(C), pages 177-193.
    8. Azim, M. Imran & Tushar, Wayes & Saha, Tapan K. & Yuen, Chau & Smith, David, 2022. "Peer-to-peer kilowatt and negawatt trading: A review of challenges and recent advances in distribution networks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    9. Han, Xuejiao & Garrison, Jared & Hug, Gabriela, 2022. "Techno-economic analysis of PV-battery systems in Switzerland," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    10. Capper, Timothy & Gorbatcheva, Anna & Mustafa, Mustafa A. & Bahloul, Mohamed & Schwidtal, Jan Marc & Chitchyan, Ruzanna & Andoni, Merlinda & Robu, Valentin & Montakhabi, Mehdi & Scott, Ian J. & Franci, 2022. "Peer-to-peer, community self-consumption, and transactive energy: A systematic literature review of local energy market models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    11. Azuatalam, Donald & Paridari, Kaveh & Ma, Yiju & Förstl, Markus & Chapman, Archie C. & Verbič, Gregor, 2019. "Energy management of small-scale PV-battery systems: A systematic review considering practical implementation, computational requirements, quality of input data and battery degradation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 555-570.
    12. Lucas Deotti & Wanessa Guedes & Bruno Dias & Tiago Soares, 2020. "Technical and Economic Analysis of Battery Storage for Residential Solar Photovoltaic Systems in the Brazilian Regulatory Context," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-30, December.
    13. Schwidtal, J.M. & Piccini, P. & Troncia, M. & Chitchyan, R. & Montakhabi, M. & Francis, C. & Gorbatcheva, A. & Capper, T. & Mustafa, M.A. & Andoni, M. & Robu, V. & Bahloul, M. & Scott, I.J. & Mbavarir, 2023. "Emerging business models in local energy markets: A systematic review of peer-to-peer, community self-consumption, and transactive energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    14. Siripha Junlakarn & Phimsupha Kokchang & Kulyos Audomvongseree, 2022. "Drivers and Challenges of Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading Development in Thailand," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, February.
    15. Villa-Arrieta, Manuel & Sumper, Andreas, 2019. "Economic evaluation of Nearly Zero Energy Cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C), pages 404-416.
    16. Seyedhossein, Seyed Saeed & Moeini-Aghtaie, Moein, 2022. "Risk management framework of peer-to-peer electricity markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    17. Neves, Diana & Scott, Ian & Silva, Carlos A., 2020. "Peer-to-peer energy trading potential: An assessment for the residential sector under different technology and tariff availabilities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    18. Zheng, Boshen & Wei, Wei & Chen, Yue & Wu, Qiuwei & Mei, Shengwei, 2022. "A peer-to-peer energy trading market embedded with residential shared energy storage units," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    19. Meritxell Domènech Monfort & César De Jesús & Natapon Wanapinit & Niklas Hartmann, 2022. "A Review of Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading with Standard Terminology Proposal and a Techno-Economic Characterisation Matrix," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-29, November.
    20. Arnob Das & Susmita Datta Peu & Md. Abdul Mannan Akanda & Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam, 2023. "Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading Pricing Mechanisms: Towards a Comprehensive Analysis of Energy and Network Service Pricing (NSP) Mechanisms to Get Sustainable Enviro-Economical Energy Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-27, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    PV Plants; Battery Storage; P2P Trading; Real Options; Dynamic Stochastic Optimization;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fem:femwpa:2023.02. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alberto Prina Cerai (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/feemmit.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.