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Business Cycle Regimes in CEECs Production: a Threshold SUR Approach

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Author Info
Nektarios Aslanidis ()
Abstract

The aim of this paper is to study economic activity in CEECs and to look at the transmission of economic activity between the euro area and CEECs. Econometric techniques appropriate for a threshold seemingly unrelated regressions specification are developed to take account of factors that are common to all CEECs. This methodology also allows for asymmetries in the activity of the CEECs governed by the overall euro area activity. The results show slow growth for most CEECs when the euro area economy decelerates, but high growth when the euro area economy grows.

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File URL: http://www.bankofestonia.info/pub/en/dokumendid/publikatsioonid/seeriad/uuringud/_2006/_1_2006/_wp_106.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Bank of Estonia in its series Bank of Estonia Working Papers with number 2006-01.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: 10 Oct 2006
Date of revision: 10 Oct 2006
Publication status: published
Handle: RePEc:eea:boewps:wp2006-01

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Related research
Keywords: threshold SUR; asymmetry; business cycles;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C50 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - General
E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. repec:att:wimass:1919997 is not listed on IDEAS
  2. Hansen, Bruce E, 1996. "Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified under the Null Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 413-30, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Jarko Fidrmuc & Iikka Korhonen, 2006. "Meta-Analysis of the Business Cycle Correlation between the Euro Area and the CEECs," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo Group Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Fidrmuc, Jarko & Korhonen, Iikka, 2004. "A meta-analysis of business cycle correlation between the euro area and CEECs: What do we know – and who cares?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 20/2004, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
  5. Terasvirta, T & Anderson, H M, 1992. "Characterizing Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(S), pages S119-36, Suppl. De. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Oberhofer, W & Kmenta, J, 1974. "A General Procedure for Obtaining Maximum Likelihood Estimates in Generalized Regression Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 42(3), pages 579-90, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Robert B. Davies, 2002. "Hypothesis testing when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative: Linear model case," Biometrika, Oxford University Press for Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(2), pages 484-489, June.
  8. Hansen, Bruce E, 1999. " Testing for Linearity," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 13(5), pages 551-76, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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