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Global and Regional Sources of Risk in Equity Markets: Evidence from Factor Models with Time-Varying Conditional Skewness

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  • Anthony S. Tay
  • Aamir R. Hashmi

Abstract

We examine the influence of global and regional factors on the conditional distribution of stock returns from six Asian markets, using factor models in which unexpected returns comprise global, regional and local shocks. The models allow for conditional heteroskedasticity and time-varying conditional skewness, and permit mean, variance and skewness spillovers to be measured. We find that the pattern of spillovers changed in the late 1990s. When spillovers are allowed to vary with the type of news arriving in a market, we find that local news reduces mean spillovers but increases variance spillovers. News about regional countries increases skewness spillovers

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings with number 634.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:feam04:634

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Keywords: Asymmetries; Skewness; Volatility; Spillover; Stock returns; News.;

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Cited by:
  1. Alexandros Gabrielsen & Paolo Zagaglia & Axel Kirchner & Zhuoshi Liu, 2012. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk with Time-Varying Variance, Skewness and Kurtosis in an Exponential Weighted Moving Average Framework," Working Paper Series 34_12, The Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
  2. Anthony S. Tay & Aamir R. Hashmi, 2004. "Global and Regional Sources of Risk in Equity Markets: Evidence from Factor Models with Time-Varying Conditional Skewness," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 634, Econometric Society.
  3. Gebka, Bartosz & Serwa, Dobromil, 2007. "Intra- and inter-regional spillovers between emerging capital markets around the world," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 203-221, June.

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