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An Econometric Workbench for Comparing the Substantive and Dominance Tests in Horizontal Merger Analysis

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Author Info
Jerome Foncel () (University of Lille (GREMARS))
Marc Ivaldi () (Toulouse School of Economics (IDEI), EHESS and CEPR)
Jrisy Motis () (Toulouse School of Economics - EHESS (GREMAQ) and University of Crete)
Abstract

We investigate for the individual and relative accuracy of two major market power tests: the Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI), and the merger simulation model of unilateral effects. We propose a methodology to compare the predictive and screening power of both tests by implementing them in a hypothetical economy. We find that when a structural econometric approach is missed (substantive test) the concentration approach (dominance test) is biased upwards. We also find that the substantive test is influenced by the market size or more precisely the market size of the outside good. In particular, when it is large, a decision based on the HHI test would have nothing to do with a decision based on the unilateral effects test. Still, in the overall, the substantive test performs better in capturing the true situation of the market compared to the dominance test of concentration.

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File URL: http://economics.soc.uoc.gr/wpa/docs/paper1motis.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Crete, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0833.

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Length: 47 pages
Date of creation: 15 May 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:crt:wpaper:0833

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Related research
Keywords: mergers; antitrust; differentiated product markets; simulation;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General
L41 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - Monopolization; Horizontal Anticompetitive Practices
K21 - Law and Economics - - Regulation and Business Law - - - Antitrust Law
D78 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Positive Analysis of Policy-Making and Implementation
C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-20.


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